<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss version="2.0"
	xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"
	xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/"
	xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom"
	xmlns:sy="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/syndication/"
	xmlns:georss="http://www.georss.org/georss" xmlns:geo="http://www.w3.org/2003/01/geo/wgs84_pos#" xmlns:media="http://search.yahoo.com/mrss/"
		>
<channel>
	<title>Comments on: Upper and Lower Bristlecone Sites</title>
	<atom:link href="http://climateaudit.org/2006/01/01/upper-and-lower-bristlecone-sites/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://climateaudit.org/2006/01/01/upper-and-lower-bristlecone-sites/</link>
	<description>by Steve McIntyre</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Sun, 19 May 2013 22:53:06 +0000</lastBuildDate>
	<sy:updatePeriod>hourly</sy:updatePeriod>
	<sy:updateFrequency>1</sy:updateFrequency>
	<generator>http://wordpress.com/</generator>
	<item>
		<title>By: Peter D. Tillman</title>
		<link>http://climateaudit.org/2006/01/01/upper-and-lower-bristlecone-sites/#comment-42017</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Peter D. Tillman]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 01 Feb 2008 20:33:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=478#comment-42017</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Steve: BUMP on publishing this. Why don&#039;t you coauthor with one of the &quot;young dendros&quot; you met &amp; liked at AGU? Killing 2 birds with one stone -- bird #2 being your obvious distaste for the mechanics of academic publishing. Which, you can point out to your prospective collaborator, will be valuable experience for them ;-)

Just DO it. Dendroclimatology NEEDS you!

Cheers -- Pete Tillman
--
&quot;Gentlemen, you can&#039;t fight in here -- this is the War Room.&quot;
	-- Dr. Strangelove (Stanley Kubrick)]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Steve: BUMP on publishing this. Why don&#8217;t you coauthor with one of the &#8220;young dendros&#8221; you met &amp; liked at AGU? Killing 2 birds with one stone &#8212; bird #2 being your obvious distaste for the mechanics of academic publishing. Which, you can point out to your prospective collaborator, will be valuable experience for them <img src='http://s1.wp.com/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_wink.gif' alt=';-)' class='wp-smiley' /> </p>
<p>Just DO it. Dendroclimatology NEEDS you!</p>
<p>Cheers &#8212; Pete Tillman<br />
&#8211;<br />
&#8220;Gentlemen, you can&#8217;t fight in here &#8212; this is the War Room.&#8221;<br />
	&#8211; Dr. Strangelove (Stanley Kubrick)</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: TCO</title>
		<link>http://climateaudit.org/2006/01/01/upper-and-lower-bristlecone-sites/#comment-42016</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[TCO]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 04 May 2006 14:18:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=478#comment-42016</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Was more here than I remembered.  Needs to be published.  Try not to get too wrapped up into your combat with Mann or to say that you understand the whole story.  (the result is interesting independant of MBH and you DON&#039;T understand the whole story.)  Nevertheless, you&#039;ve done an analysis that shows something interesting.  That is sufficent to publish.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Was more here than I remembered.  Needs to be published.  Try not to get too wrapped up into your combat with Mann or to say that you understand the whole story.  (the result is interesting independant of MBH and you DON&#8217;T understand the whole story.)  Nevertheless, you&#8217;ve done an analysis that shows something interesting.  That is sufficent to publish.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Steve Sadlov</title>
		<link>http://climateaudit.org/2006/01/01/upper-and-lower-bristlecone-sites/#comment-42015</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Steve Sadlov]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 08 Feb 2006 02:31:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=478#comment-42015</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[More White Mountain climate notes based on local knowledge.

During the period Oct - April inversions are common between winter storms. Winter storms coming in from the West or SW produce minimal precip with somewhat higher snow level and lots of wind and mix out the inversion. Storms coming down from the north (and even the odd retrograde cut off low coming in from the northeast or east) have less wind and produce more precip due to the fact they don&#039;t have the cross the Sierra Nevada (and incur the rainshadow). Years where the northerly Siberian Express sets up (classic examples, last year and the year before) tend to keep the snow cover on the ground longer (both between the storms and overall) and the snow pack can last until June or July. Mammoth Mtn Ski Area (not in the Whites, but nearby, on the East slope of the Sierra) can be open on the 4th of July more often than not. Years where the Siberian Express does not set up result in an earlier melt off and if there is not an El Nino, a deficient snow pack. A highly unusual climate with large variations in temps and precip on all time scales.

Check out the Reno NWS site every few days for a year and you&#039;ll get a sense of how the climate in the Whites works.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>More White Mountain climate notes based on local knowledge.</p>
<p>During the period Oct &#8211; April inversions are common between winter storms. Winter storms coming in from the West or SW produce minimal precip with somewhat higher snow level and lots of wind and mix out the inversion. Storms coming down from the north (and even the odd retrograde cut off low coming in from the northeast or east) have less wind and produce more precip due to the fact they don&#8217;t have the cross the Sierra Nevada (and incur the rainshadow). Years where the northerly Siberian Express sets up (classic examples, last year and the year before) tend to keep the snow cover on the ground longer (both between the storms and overall) and the snow pack can last until June or July. Mammoth Mtn Ski Area (not in the Whites, but nearby, on the East slope of the Sierra) can be open on the 4th of July more often than not. Years where the Siberian Express does not set up result in an earlier melt off and if there is not an El Nino, a deficient snow pack. A highly unusual climate with large variations in temps and precip on all time scales.</p>
<p>Check out the Reno NWS site every few days for a year and you&#8217;ll get a sense of how the climate in the Whites works.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: beng</title>
		<link>http://climateaudit.org/2006/01/01/upper-and-lower-bristlecone-sites/#comment-42014</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[beng]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Jan 2006 16:48:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=478#comment-42014</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[So, not only do we see that some of the 20th century Bristlecone growth-patterns are anomalous generally among trees, but even in comparison w/very nearby (just lower on same mountain) Bristlecones!

The possible reasons for these differences could be endless, w/higher temps = greater growth not apparently among them.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>So, not only do we see that some of the 20th century Bristlecone growth-patterns are anomalous generally among trees, but even in comparison w/very nearby (just lower on same mountain) Bristlecones!</p>
<p>The possible reasons for these differences could be endless, w/higher temps = greater growth not apparently among them.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Steve McIntyre</title>
		<link>http://climateaudit.org/2006/01/01/upper-and-lower-bristlecone-sites/#comment-42013</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Steve McIntyre]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 02 Jan 2006 23:52:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=478#comment-42013</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[sorry about that typo. I meant 0.6 deg C/100 m. I edited the post.

Climatic stations White Mountains 1 and White Mountains 2 operated from ~1950 to 1980. WM1 at 10150&#039; (3100 m) and WM2 at 12470&#039; (3800 m).  WM1 had mean annual temperature of +2.3 deg C  and 31 cm precipitation; WM2 had average temperature of -2.4 deg C  and precipitation of 36.5 cm. Obviously cold and dry.    Local gradients (up) would be therefore about -0.67  deg C/100 m and +0.8  cm/100 m, although I&#039;m sure that this varies a lot in the different microclimates.

The key control on growth seems to be soil moisture, which remains above critical levels for longer at higher altitudes. I&#039;ve got a post in the works on this.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>sorry about that typo. I meant 0.6 deg C/100 m. I edited the post.</p>
<p>Climatic stations White Mountains 1 and White Mountains 2 operated from ~1950 to 1980. WM1 at 10150&#8242; (3100 m) and WM2 at 12470&#8242; (3800 m).  WM1 had mean annual temperature of +2.3 deg C  and 31 cm precipitation; WM2 had average temperature of -2.4 deg C  and precipitation of 36.5 cm. Obviously cold and dry.    Local gradients (up) would be therefore about -0.67  deg C/100 m and +0.8  cm/100 m, although I&#8217;m sure that this varies a lot in the different microclimates.</p>
<p>The key control on growth seems to be soil moisture, which remains above critical levels for longer at higher altitudes. I&#8217;ve got a post in the works on this.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Kenneth Blumenfeld</title>
		<link>http://climateaudit.org/2006/01/01/upper-and-lower-bristlecone-sites/#comment-42012</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Kenneth Blumenfeld]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 02 Jan 2006 23:16:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=478#comment-42012</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Sorry, I started typing two responses now, but I made the mistake of leaving the page during composition and returned to find my post gone...this will be abbreviated therefore, and I&#039;ll clarify if requested.

Re: #11:

Unless you are using a lapse rate with which I am not familiar, I think you need to either drop a zero from the height (so it says .6 deg C/100 m), or move the decimal to the right for temperature (so it says 6 deg C /1000 m).

And could you clarify the lapse rate to which you were referring?  We usually discuss three.  The first two are associated with the expansion air as it ascends:

Dry Adiabatic Lapse Rate (for unsaturated air--relative humidity less than 100%): about 10 deg c/ 1000 m

Wet Adiabatic Lapse Rate (for saturated air--RH = 100%): about 6 deg c/ 1000 m; greater at cold temps, less at warm temps

The other rate is the observed, or &quot;environmental&quot; lapse rate.  On average it is 6.5 deg C / 1000 m, though it is rarely exactly this value through any given layer of the atmosphere or for a prolonged period.  Obviously with inversions, this lapse rate would be negative, because the temperature increases with height.

As related to normal environmental and adiabatic processes, you would expect the upper site to be 1 to 1.5 deg C cooler than the lower site.  You would also expect the upper site to be slightly more moist, unless the lower site was windward and the higher site leeward.

Anyway, I would appreciate a clarification so I can better follow your argument.

Thanks.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Sorry, I started typing two responses now, but I made the mistake of leaving the page during composition and returned to find my post gone&#8230;this will be abbreviated therefore, and I&#8217;ll clarify if requested.</p>
<p>Re: #11:</p>
<p>Unless you are using a lapse rate with which I am not familiar, I think you need to either drop a zero from the height (so it says .6 deg C/100 m), or move the decimal to the right for temperature (so it says 6 deg C /1000 m).</p>
<p>And could you clarify the lapse rate to which you were referring?  We usually discuss three.  The first two are associated with the expansion air as it ascends:</p>
<p>Dry Adiabatic Lapse Rate (for unsaturated air&#8211;relative humidity less than 100%): about 10 deg c/ 1000 m</p>
<p>Wet Adiabatic Lapse Rate (for saturated air&#8211;RH = 100%): about 6 deg c/ 1000 m; greater at cold temps, less at warm temps</p>
<p>The other rate is the observed, or &#8220;environmental&#8221; lapse rate.  On average it is 6.5 deg C / 1000 m, though it is rarely exactly this value through any given layer of the atmosphere or for a prolonged period.  Obviously with inversions, this lapse rate would be negative, because the temperature increases with height.</p>
<p>As related to normal environmental and adiabatic processes, you would expect the upper site to be 1 to 1.5 deg C cooler than the lower site.  You would also expect the upper site to be slightly more moist, unless the lower site was windward and the higher site leeward.</p>
<p>Anyway, I would appreciate a clarification so I can better follow your argument.</p>
<p>Thanks.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: David Stockwell</title>
		<link>http://climateaudit.org/2006/01/01/upper-and-lower-bristlecone-sites/#comment-42011</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[David Stockwell]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 02 Jan 2006 14:15:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=478#comment-42011</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[There could be lots of reasons for this Steve.  The competition you mentioned with Sagebrush, with other trees of the same species reducing growth. You could say the &#039;prefer&#039; the higher altitudes but this is a bit anthropomorphic.  Comparing annual temperature and lapse rate could be misleading too, as differences could be greater in the important growth season. Cloud effects adding mist.  Many things.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>There could be lots of reasons for this Steve.  The competition you mentioned with Sagebrush, with other trees of the same species reducing growth. You could say the &#8216;prefer&#8217; the higher altitudes but this is a bit anthropomorphic.  Comparing annual temperature and lapse rate could be misleading too, as differences could be greater in the important growth season. Cloud effects adding mist.  Many things.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Steve McIntyre</title>
		<link>http://climateaudit.org/2006/01/01/upper-and-lower-bristlecone-sites/#comment-42010</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Steve McIntyre]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 02 Jan 2006 13:49:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=478#comment-42010</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Another interesting point about this: consider Timber Gap again. The elevation difference between upper and lower sites is only 200 m. A typical lapse rate is say 0.6 deg C / 100 m. But the upper ring widths are historically almost twice as large as the lower site - there is a &quot;large&quot; difference of 0.2 mm (the upper panel units are 0.01 mm - I should have noted this). Wouldn&#039;t interdecadal temperature variations be just as large as this lapse rate? I&#039;ll plot up and post annual series without being smoothed). In any event, the difference in ring widths over 200 m of altitude is a lot.

This ties into an interesting bias in nearly all tree ring width series. You may recall prior discussion of sampling bias - tree ringers do not sample small trees. Melvin, a student of Briffa&#039;s, mentioned 5 mm diameter as a typical minimum. In the 20th century, tree lines have been rising but sampling has not (due to minimum sample girth). We&#039;re seeing very big differences in ring width over rather short elevation intervals. So the absence of samples from the higher elevations has to bias the sample somehow. Note again that medieval treelines were typically higher than modern treelines and these higher trees were sampled in the medieval period. (discussed in connection with Polar Urals - see Category right frame)]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Another interesting point about this: consider Timber Gap again. The elevation difference between upper and lower sites is only 200 m. A typical lapse rate is say 0.6 deg C / 100 m. But the upper ring widths are historically almost twice as large as the lower site &#8211; there is a &quot;large&quot; difference of 0.2 mm (the upper panel units are 0.01 mm &#8211; I should have noted this). Wouldn&#8217;t interdecadal temperature variations be just as large as this lapse rate? I&#8217;ll plot up and post annual series without being smoothed). In any event, the difference in ring widths over 200 m of altitude is a lot.</p>
<p>This ties into an interesting bias in nearly all tree ring width series. You may recall prior discussion of sampling bias &#8211; tree ringers do not sample small trees. Melvin, a student of Briffa&#8217;s, mentioned 5 mm diameter as a typical minimum. In the 20th century, tree lines have been rising but sampling has not (due to minimum sample girth). We&#8217;re seeing very big differences in ring width over rather short elevation intervals. So the absence of samples from the higher elevations has to bias the sample somehow. Note again that medieval treelines were typically higher than modern treelines and these higher trees were sampled in the medieval period. (discussed in connection with Polar Urals &#8211; see Category right frame)</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Willis Eschenbach</title>
		<link>http://climateaudit.org/2006/01/01/upper-and-lower-bristlecone-sites/#comment-42009</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Willis Eschenbach]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 02 Jan 2006 12:08:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=478#comment-42009</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Re #6: In all of the sites, the ring width graph for the lower site has run either level or slightly downhill from left to right.

In all of the sites, the graph of the upper site shows anomalous growth in the last century.

The &quot;crossing at Timber Gap&quot; is an artefact. Of the sites shown, only at Timber Gap does the lower site (as expected) have wider ring width than the upper site. However, during the anomalous upper site growth of the last century, they reverse positions.

The question you pose, as I understand it, is how can we possibly uutilize sites where upper site ring width is greater than lower site ring width as a temperature proxy? This is a critical question. One hopes they might discuss this stuff.

w.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Re #6: In all of the sites, the ring width graph for the lower site has run either level or slightly downhill from left to right.</p>
<p>In all of the sites, the graph of the upper site shows anomalous growth in the last century.</p>
<p>The &#8220;crossing at Timber Gap&#8221; is an artefact. Of the sites shown, only at Timber Gap does the lower site (as expected) have wider ring width than the upper site. However, during the anomalous upper site growth of the last century, they reverse positions.</p>
<p>The question you pose, as I understand it, is how can we possibly uutilize sites where upper site ring width is greater than lower site ring width as a temperature proxy? This is a critical question. One hopes they might discuss this stuff.</p>
<p>w.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: David Stockwell</title>
		<link>http://climateaudit.org/2006/01/01/upper-and-lower-bristlecone-sites/#comment-42008</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[David Stockwell]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 02 Jan 2006 09:27:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=478#comment-42008</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Re: #6.  &lt;blockquote&gt;I can&#039;t figure out what would cause the crossing at Timber Gap - that seems pretty weird to me. &lt;/blockquote&gt;

A working hypothesis would be temperature.  To my eye the upper and lower series could be negatively related.  This is esp visibile in Pearl Peak data, when one goes up the other goes down.  This is to be expected from the physiology  if the upper and lower are on different sides of the inverted &#039;U&#039; curve.  Judged against this model 20th century behaviour seems anomolous.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Re: #6.<br />
<blockquote>I can&#8217;t figure out what would cause the crossing at Timber Gap &#8211; that seems pretty weird to me. </p></blockquote>
<p>A working hypothesis would be temperature.  To my eye the upper and lower series could be negatively related.  This is esp visibile in Pearl Peak data, when one goes up the other goes down.  This is to be expected from the physiology  if the upper and lower are on different sides of the inverted &#8216;U&#8217; curve.  Judged against this model 20th century behaviour seems anomolous.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
</channel>
</rss>
