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	<title>Comments on: Mann and Schmidt have a Hissy Fit</title>
	<atom:link href="http://climateaudit.org/2006/01/31/mann-and-schmidt-have-a-hissy-fit/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://climateaudit.org/2006/01/31/mann-and-schmidt-have-a-hissy-fit/</link>
	<description>by Steve McIntyre</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Fri, 24 May 2013 20:29:38 +0000</lastBuildDate>
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		<title>By: fFreddy</title>
		<link>http://climateaudit.org/2006/01/31/mann-and-schmidt-have-a-hissy-fit/#comment-43107</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[fFreddy]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 15 Feb 2006 10:39:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=514#comment-43107</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Re #44, Peter Ravenscroft
&lt;blockquote&gt;The story of the defence of the geologically impossible past rivers and oceans of Mars very closely matches the strategies used in the hockey stick war here.
&lt;/blockquote&gt;
Who won ? And how ?]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Re #44, Peter Ravenscroft</p>
<blockquote><p>The story of the defence of the geologically impossible past rivers and oceans of Mars very closely matches the strategies used in the hockey stick war here.
</p></blockquote>
<p>Who won ? And how ?</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: Peter Ravenscroft</title>
		<link>http://climateaudit.org/2006/01/31/mann-and-schmidt-have-a-hissy-fit/#comment-43106</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Peter Ravenscroft]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 15 Feb 2006 09:27:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=514#comment-43106</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I have not tracked all the ins and outs of this fascinating hockey stick debate yet, but the notion that industrial greenhouse gases are driving the climate can be knocked independently, at least here in Australia for the rainfall, by considering the decadal variation in annual rainfall stats for various stations, of which we have many. The long rolling decadal waves cycle, so they at least cannot be industrially driven. They are also of differing wavelenghts, at different stations.

Also, as we have had a lot of interglacials back in the past three quarters of a million years (see the Dome C and Vostok ice-core data) when temperatures and CO2 levels have been higher than they are now, unless the good folk of Atlantis were very active many times, with long lunch-breaks, and were very meticulous about disposing thoughtfully of all their solid junk, it is perhaps a fair question to ask what is so special about this interglacial, except that it is ours? A slightly longer rear-view vision will I think, help bring a little more clarity. For instance, the Vostok data shows the temperature proxies climbing, and then, some 300 to 3,000 years later, the CO2 climbs or falls in step. In this universe cause is, I think, usually required to precede effect.

As an aside, I do wonder if some of the recent spikes in ice-core data are not there because whatever is being measured in fact dissipates rather rapidly when first buried only just below the surface of the icecap, and then much more slowly as the later snow layers bury that one ever deeper. That could leave several proxies in tatters, at least for the recent past. Like, say, the last thousand years or two.

Do not despair that you are alone in a sea of exceptionally slack science, earth climate folks. The story of the defence of the geologically impossible past rivers and oceans of Mars very closely matches the strategies used in the hockey stick war here. One time series, infinite variables, all either varying directly or inversely to each other. Result, an infinite number of possible Ph.D.s.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I have not tracked all the ins and outs of this fascinating hockey stick debate yet, but the notion that industrial greenhouse gases are driving the climate can be knocked independently, at least here in Australia for the rainfall, by considering the decadal variation in annual rainfall stats for various stations, of which we have many. The long rolling decadal waves cycle, so they at least cannot be industrially driven. They are also of differing wavelenghts, at different stations.</p>
<p>Also, as we have had a lot of interglacials back in the past three quarters of a million years (see the Dome C and Vostok ice-core data) when temperatures and CO2 levels have been higher than they are now, unless the good folk of Atlantis were very active many times, with long lunch-breaks, and were very meticulous about disposing thoughtfully of all their solid junk, it is perhaps a fair question to ask what is so special about this interglacial, except that it is ours? A slightly longer rear-view vision will I think, help bring a little more clarity. For instance, the Vostok data shows the temperature proxies climbing, and then, some 300 to 3,000 years later, the CO2 climbs or falls in step. In this universe cause is, I think, usually required to precede effect.</p>
<p>As an aside, I do wonder if some of the recent spikes in ice-core data are not there because whatever is being measured in fact dissipates rather rapidly when first buried only just below the surface of the icecap, and then much more slowly as the later snow layers bury that one ever deeper. That could leave several proxies in tatters, at least for the recent past. Like, say, the last thousand years or two.</p>
<p>Do not despair that you are alone in a sea of exceptionally slack science, earth climate folks. The story of the defence of the geologically impossible past rivers and oceans of Mars very closely matches the strategies used in the hockey stick war here. One time series, infinite variables, all either varying directly or inversely to each other. Result, an infinite number of possible Ph.D.s.</p>
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		<title>By: Steve Sadlov</title>
		<link>http://climateaudit.org/2006/01/31/mann-and-schmidt-have-a-hissy-fit/#comment-43105</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Steve Sadlov]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 08 Feb 2006 01:23:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=514#comment-43105</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Slightly off topic, slightly not ....

In terms of those who have hissy fits, of late, some readings have given me a chance to get more familiar with New Zealand&#039;s Earth Sciences community. Talk about true believers in the Hockey Stick ... they might as well be honorary members of the Hockey Team.

There must be something about those islands which fosters the Dr. Smith mentality. &quot;Were DOOOOOOOoOooooooomed!&quot; :-)

Maybe it&#039;s living on top of an 8.0 earthquake waiting to happen .... hmmm.... so do I, and I&#039;m no Dr. Smith. Well so much for that theory .....]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Slightly off topic, slightly not &#8230;.</p>
<p>In terms of those who have hissy fits, of late, some readings have given me a chance to get more familiar with New Zealand&#8217;s Earth Sciences community. Talk about true believers in the Hockey Stick &#8230; they might as well be honorary members of the Hockey Team.</p>
<p>There must be something about those islands which fosters the Dr. Smith mentality. &#8220;Were DOOOOOOOoOooooooomed!&#8221; <img src='http://s0.wp.com/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_smile.gif' alt=':-)' class='wp-smiley' /> </p>
<p>Maybe it&#8217;s living on top of an 8.0 earthquake waiting to happen &#8230;. hmmm&#8230;. so do I, and I&#8217;m no Dr. Smith. Well so much for that theory &#8230;..</p>
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		<title>By: beng</title>
		<link>http://climateaudit.org/2006/01/31/mann-and-schmidt-have-a-hissy-fit/#comment-43104</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[beng]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 04 Feb 2006 14:44:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=514#comment-43104</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[RE 35 ET Sid:

I&#039;m sure you know, but for others, the Junkscience site has some extensive climate proxy info/graphs here:

http://www.junkscience.com/MSU_Temps/Warming_Proxies.htm

One concern might be cherry-picking (can&#039;t tell offhand), but they include some of the HocTeam stuff. I know eyeballing is problematic, but guessing &gt;50% clearly show the MWP &amp; LIA. What else is interesting is that the long-timescale proxies like ice cores often show the highest temps 10000-14000 BP, then w/a slight but consistent downward trend since then (w/a secondary max ~5000 BP). What&#039;s remarkable about that is that the LIA might&#039;ve been the coldest global temps in 10000 or more yrs! That&#039;s never mentioned....]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>RE 35 ET Sid:</p>
<p>I&#8217;m sure you know, but for others, the Junkscience site has some extensive climate proxy info/graphs here:</p>
<p><a href="http://www.junkscience.com/MSU_Temps/Warming_Proxies.htm" rel="nofollow">http://www.junkscience.com/MSU_Temps/Warming_Proxies.htm</a></p>
<p>One concern might be cherry-picking (can&#8217;t tell offhand), but they include some of the HocTeam stuff. I know eyeballing is problematic, but guessing &gt;50% clearly show the MWP &amp; LIA. What else is interesting is that the long-timescale proxies like ice cores often show the highest temps 10000-14000 BP, then w/a slight but consistent downward trend since then (w/a secondary max ~5000 BP). What&#8217;s remarkable about that is that the LIA might&#8217;ve been the coldest global temps in 10000 or more yrs! That&#8217;s never mentioned&#8230;.</p>
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		<title>By: Dave Dardinger</title>
		<link>http://climateaudit.org/2006/01/31/mann-and-schmidt-have-a-hissy-fit/#comment-43103</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dave Dardinger]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 03 Feb 2006 13:25:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=514#comment-43103</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Yes, whatever are you trying to say, Peter?  You criticize Steve all the time and we love to play whack-a-mole with you!]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Yes, whatever are you trying to say, Peter?  You criticize Steve all the time and we love to play whack-a-mole with you!</p>
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		<title>By: fFreddy</title>
		<link>http://climateaudit.org/2006/01/31/mann-and-schmidt-have-a-hissy-fit/#comment-43102</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[fFreddy]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 03 Feb 2006 10:36:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=514#comment-43102</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&lt;blockquote&gt;
See, we could have a real flame war here if anyone like me could be bothered &lt;/blockquote&gt;
Or if we could understand what you are trying to say.

&lt;blockquote&gt;
Interesting how none of the criticism of various scientist these posts of ever also seems to refer to these doing the criticising.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

?]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>
See, we could have a real flame war here if anyone like me could be bothered </p></blockquote>
<p>Or if we could understand what you are trying to say.</p>
<blockquote><p>
Interesting how none of the criticism of various scientist these posts of ever also seems to refer to these doing the criticising.</p></blockquote>
<p>?</p>
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		<title>By: Peter Hearnden</title>
		<link>http://climateaudit.org/2006/01/31/mann-and-schmidt-have-a-hissy-fit/#comment-43101</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Peter Hearnden]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 03 Feb 2006 09:32:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=514#comment-43101</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Interesting how none of the criticism of various scientist these posts of ever also seems to refer to these doing the criticising. Odd that. But then again, you&#039;re probably all perfect...And none of you show any signs of religious ferver, oh no! It&#039;s just there is no doubt you&#039;re right and Steve and John &#039;A&#039;s the word handed down truth...

So there!

See, we could have a real flame war here if anyone like me could be bothered :)]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Interesting how none of the criticism of various scientist these posts of ever also seems to refer to these doing the criticising. Odd that. But then again, you&#8217;re probably all perfect&#8230;And none of you show any signs of religious ferver, oh no! It&#8217;s just there is no doubt you&#8217;re right and Steve and John &#8216;A&#8217;s the word handed down truth&#8230;</p>
<p>So there!</p>
<p>See, we could have a real flame war here if anyone like me could be bothered <img src='http://s0.wp.com/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_smile.gif' alt=':)' class='wp-smiley' /> </p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: per</title>
		<link>http://climateaudit.org/2006/01/31/mann-and-schmidt-have-a-hissy-fit/#comment-43100</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[per]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 03 Feb 2006 01:02:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=514#comment-43100</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I must admit that this does get quite curious. If an editor goes against the advice of the referees, then that raises interesting questions :)
It does happen legitimately; if the referees point is irrelevant to the paper, or if it has no substance, or if the editor gets conflicting advice from multiple referees on the same point. Starts to make it a rather sticky wicket if the editor is trying to justify his actions later on tho&#039;, and given the political interest here, one might guess that only a foolhardy editor would make a clearly biased decision.

One of the issues here is that I don&#039;t know what &quot;provisionally accepted&quot; means. There is a common practice, which goes like this:
&quot;We will reconsider your manuscript for publication, providing that you can address the referees comments below:
referees points #1,2,3&quot;

Under these circumstances, you would have to see what the stipulations of the journal were before you could come to a view about what is happening. I am sure we will be rapidly enlightened by the loud trumpeting of success if this paper is finally accepted !
cheers
per]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I must admit that this does get quite curious. If an editor goes against the advice of the referees, then that raises interesting questions <img src='http://s0.wp.com/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_smile.gif' alt=':)' class='wp-smiley' /><br />
It does happen legitimately; if the referees point is irrelevant to the paper, or if it has no substance, or if the editor gets conflicting advice from multiple referees on the same point. Starts to make it a rather sticky wicket if the editor is trying to justify his actions later on tho&#8217;, and given the political interest here, one might guess that only a foolhardy editor would make a clearly biased decision.</p>
<p>One of the issues here is that I don&#8217;t know what &#8220;provisionally accepted&#8221; means. There is a common practice, which goes like this:<br />
&#8220;We will reconsider your manuscript for publication, providing that you can address the referees comments below:<br />
referees points #1,2,3&#8243;</p>
<p>Under these circumstances, you would have to see what the stipulations of the journal were before you could come to a view about what is happening. I am sure we will be rapidly enlightened by the loud trumpeting of success if this paper is finally accepted !<br />
cheers<br />
per</p>
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		<title>By: ET SidViscous</title>
		<link>http://climateaudit.org/2006/01/31/mann-and-schmidt-have-a-hissy-fit/#comment-43099</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[ET SidViscous]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 03 Feb 2006 00:29:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=514#comment-43099</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Stephen Schneider

That guy keep turning up. Talk about a Bad penny, but if he&#039;s the one in charge of such things it starts to make much more sense.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Stephen Schneider</p>
<p>That guy keep turning up. Talk about a Bad penny, but if he&#8217;s the one in charge of such things it starts to make much more sense.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>By: Steve McIntyre</title>
		<link>http://climateaudit.org/2006/01/31/mann-and-schmidt-have-a-hissy-fit/#comment-43098</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Steve McIntyre]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 03 Feb 2006 00:14:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=514#comment-43098</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[#25 - per, in the case at hand, Ammann and Wahl refused to provide the cross-validation statistics to the referee; the referee told the journal that the refusal was unacceptable and it appears that the journal (Stephen Schneider) has simply ignored the referee if the article has been &quot;provisionally accepted&quot;.  Interestingly, Ammann and Wahl cited their GRL submission in support of their refusal to provide the cross-validation statistics, as supposedly containing lethal evidence of the defects in MM05 - at the time, they had already been rejected by GRL, which they concealed from the editor and referee. They had a little bad luck in that the referee knew about the rejection and so advised Schneider sharply reprimanding Ammann and Wahl for this concealment, but Schneider does not seem to have cared.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>#25 &#8211; per, in the case at hand, Ammann and Wahl refused to provide the cross-validation statistics to the referee; the referee told the journal that the refusal was unacceptable and it appears that the journal (Stephen Schneider) has simply ignored the referee if the article has been &#8220;provisionally accepted&#8221;.  Interestingly, Ammann and Wahl cited their GRL submission in support of their refusal to provide the cross-validation statistics, as supposedly containing lethal evidence of the defects in MM05 &#8211; at the time, they had already been rejected by GRL, which they concealed from the editor and referee. They had a little bad luck in that the referee knew about the rejection and so advised Schneider sharply reprimanding Ammann and Wahl for this concealment, but Schneider does not seem to have cared.</p>
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