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	<title>Comments on: Making Apple Pie Instead of Cherry Pie</title>
	<atom:link href="http://climateaudit.org/2006/03/11/making-apple-pie/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://climateaudit.org/2006/03/11/making-apple-pie/</link>
	<description>by Steve McIntyre</description>
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	<item>
		<title>By: Brooks Hurd</title>
		<link>http://climateaudit.org/2006/03/11/making-apple-pie/#comment-46074</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Brooks Hurd]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 19 Mar 2006 21:49:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=581#comment-46074</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[JerryB

Thank you]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>JerryB</p>
<p>Thank you</p>
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	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: JerryB</title>
		<link>http://climateaudit.org/2006/03/11/making-apple-pie/#comment-46073</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[JerryB]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 19 Mar 2006 18:37:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=581#comment-46073</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Brooks,

If you speak fortran, there is a program, md.for, at http://www.john-daly.com/bigdif/ which reports on conflicting monthly means in GHCN data.

The sample outputs of that program are multidat.ge4, which lists conflicts of 4 C or more, and multge1.zip, which lists conflicts of 1 C or more.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Brooks,</p>
<p>If you speak fortran, there is a program, md.for, at <a href="http://www.john-daly.com/bigdif/" rel="nofollow">http://www.john-daly.com/bigdif/</a> which reports on conflicting monthly means in GHCN data.</p>
<p>The sample outputs of that program are multidat.ge4, which lists conflicts of 4 C or more, and multge1.zip, which lists conflicts of 1 C or more.</p>
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	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Brooks Hurd</title>
		<link>http://climateaudit.org/2006/03/11/making-apple-pie/#comment-46072</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Brooks Hurd]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 19 Mar 2006 00:11:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=581#comment-46072</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[JerryB

Thanks.

I have downloaded quite a number of files from that FTP site.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>JerryB</p>
<p>Thanks.</p>
<p>I have downloaded quite a number of files from that FTP site.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: JerryB</title>
		<link>http://climateaudit.org/2006/03/11/making-apple-pie/#comment-46071</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[JerryB]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 18 Mar 2006 17:19:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=581#comment-46071</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Re 166,

Brooks,

If you expect to be going through data of many stations at GISS, you might consider going to GISS&#039;s source at ftp://ftp.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/ghcn/v2/ .

See http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/climate/research/ghcn/ghcnoverview.html for an overview of GHCN data.

Either way has pros, and cons.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Re 166,</p>
<p>Brooks,</p>
<p>If you expect to be going through data of many stations at GISS, you might consider going to GISS&#8217;s source at <a href="ftp://ftp.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/ghcn/v2/" rel="nofollow">ftp://ftp.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/ghcn/v2/</a> .</p>
<p>See <a href="http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/climate/research/ghcn/ghcnoverview.html" rel="nofollow">http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/climate/research/ghcn/ghcnoverview.html</a> for an overview of GHCN data.</p>
<p>Either way has pros, and cons.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: jae</title>
		<link>http://climateaudit.org/2006/03/11/making-apple-pie/#comment-46070</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[jae]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 18 Mar 2006 16:33:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=581#comment-46070</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Gawd, don&#039;t ANY of the so-called &quot;climate scientists&quot; release data?]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Gawd, don&#8217;t ANY of the so-called &#8220;climate scientists&#8221; release data?</p>
]]></content:encoded>
	</item>
	<item>
		<title>By: Brooks Hurd</title>
		<link>http://climateaudit.org/2006/03/11/making-apple-pie/#comment-46069</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Brooks Hurd]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 18 Mar 2006 16:26:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=581#comment-46069</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Re: 104, gbalella

&lt;blockquote&gt;Using the latest instrumental data the current temperature would be about + 0.6C.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

Do you have the instrument data which Dr. Jones uses to calculate his &quot;global average&quot; temperature?
Many people have been asking him for his data, but so far, he has steadfastly refused to provide it. Perhaps you did not see the von Storch presentation at the NAS.

Have you perused the GISS data station by station to see what the data really shows?
I have been doing this and only some of it aligns with Jones&#039; instrument graphics.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Re: 104, gbalella</p>
<blockquote><p>Using the latest instrumental data the current temperature would be about + 0.6C.</p></blockquote>
<p>Do you have the instrument data which Dr. Jones uses to calculate his &#8220;global average&#8221; temperature?<br />
Many people have been asking him for his data, but so far, he has steadfastly refused to provide it. Perhaps you did not see the von Storch presentation at the NAS.</p>
<p>Have you perused the GISS data station by station to see what the data really shows?<br />
I have been doing this and only some of it aligns with Jones&#8217; instrument graphics.</p>
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		<title>By: John Davis</title>
		<link>http://climateaudit.org/2006/03/11/making-apple-pie/#comment-46068</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[John Davis]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 Mar 2006 21:09:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=581#comment-46068</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[re #110
You were only too right. OK for 30 minutes then solid hockeystick gloom, and the mighty power of 30 million computers processing rubbish. GIGO anyone?
re #112
Please,please stop doing that linear extrapolation thing. You&#039;re giving me a headache. And maybe consider that the proxies are just possibly not the last word in accuracy. Consider also von Storch&#039;s work on how even &quot;good&quot; proxies contaminated by noise (and there will be noise in abundance, I guarantee) yield wild under-estimates of warming when processed in this way.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>re #110<br />
You were only too right. OK for 30 minutes then solid hockeystick gloom, and the mighty power of 30 million computers processing rubbish. GIGO anyone?<br />
re #112<br />
Please,please stop doing that linear extrapolation thing. You&#8217;re giving me a headache. And maybe consider that the proxies are just possibly not the last word in accuracy. Consider also von Storch&#8217;s work on how even &#8220;good&#8221; proxies contaminated by noise (and there will be noise in abundance, I guarantee) yield wild under-estimates of warming when processed in this way.</p>
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	<item>
		<title>By: Mark</title>
		<link>http://climateaudit.org/2006/03/11/making-apple-pie/#comment-46067</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Mark]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 Mar 2006 19:04:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=581#comment-46067</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[re: 104

&quot;Only about 0.2 C below the peak warmth of even this contrived apple picked plot. In other words its very hard to show that the current warmth is NOT unprecedented or very close to it in over 2,000 years.&quot;

?  it is not hard to show that the current warmth is not unprecedented in over 2000 years.  first, steve&#039;s low peak is actually 0.7 C below the high peak.  i can read a graph just fine.  second, even if your 0.2 C number were correct, or even if we are warmer, statistically speaking, it is not significant.  a few tenths of a degree considering a) we cannot measure the past within even a half a degree and b) we cannot measure CURRENT within a half a degree (NASA GISS estimates about +/-1 C).

before calling steve misleading, why don&#039;t you actually read the graph and convince the rest of us you aren&#039;t misleading yourself.

mark]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>re: 104</p>
<p>&#8220;Only about 0.2 C below the peak warmth of even this contrived apple picked plot. In other words its very hard to show that the current warmth is NOT unprecedented or very close to it in over 2,000 years.&#8221;</p>
<p>?  it is not hard to show that the current warmth is not unprecedented in over 2000 years.  first, steve&#8217;s low peak is actually 0.7 C below the high peak.  i can read a graph just fine.  second, even if your 0.2 C number were correct, or even if we are warmer, statistically speaking, it is not significant.  a few tenths of a degree considering a) we cannot measure the past within even a half a degree and b) we cannot measure CURRENT within a half a degree (NASA GISS estimates about +/-1 C).</p>
<p>before calling steve misleading, why don&#8217;t you actually read the graph and convince the rest of us you aren&#8217;t misleading yourself.</p>
<p>mark</p>
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	<item>
		<title>By: Mark</title>
		<link>http://climateaudit.org/2006/03/11/making-apple-pie/#comment-46066</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Mark]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 Mar 2006 18:57:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=581#comment-46066</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[not sure where you&#039;re getting the 3.0 C change... so far, we&#039;ve seen only about a half a degree this century, and the MWP/LIA changes are only as small as 1 C if you stick with the biased tree-rings.  in other words, you need the tree-rings to show future warming is significant based on past warming, yet you need the tree-rings to show past warming is meek, which allows you to show that future warming is significant based on past warming... tautology.

steve used a different set and showed nearly 2 C, btw...

as to the rest of your comments... local weather is a good indicator?  so i guess it is ok to say that colorado ski resorts are having the snowiest year in recorded history?  the dought that has plagued us is gone.  even the south mountains, which were relatively dry this year, have experienced in excess of 8&#039; of snow this week alone.  wolf creek is already at a two year average of 400 inches (about normal), with two months of snowing remaining.  colorado springs, where i live, has set record lows this year, too.  we&#039;re dry, but we&#039;re cold.  must be global warming.

mark]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>not sure where you&#8217;re getting the 3.0 C change&#8230; so far, we&#8217;ve seen only about a half a degree this century, and the MWP/LIA changes are only as small as 1 C if you stick with the biased tree-rings.  in other words, you need the tree-rings to show future warming is significant based on past warming, yet you need the tree-rings to show past warming is meek, which allows you to show that future warming is significant based on past warming&#8230; tautology.</p>
<p>steve used a different set and showed nearly 2 C, btw&#8230;</p>
<p>as to the rest of your comments&#8230; local weather is a good indicator?  so i guess it is ok to say that colorado ski resorts are having the snowiest year in recorded history?  the dought that has plagued us is gone.  even the south mountains, which were relatively dry this year, have experienced in excess of 8&#8242; of snow this week alone.  wolf creek is already at a two year average of 400 inches (about normal), with two months of snowing remaining.  colorado springs, where i live, has set record lows this year, too.  we&#8217;re dry, but we&#8217;re cold.  must be global warming.</p>
<p>mark</p>
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	<item>
		<title>By: muirgeo</title>
		<link>http://climateaudit.org/2006/03/11/making-apple-pie/#comment-46065</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[muirgeo]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 Mar 2006 18:12:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=581#comment-46065</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[RE # 105

John,

  No you can not get any answer that you want. That&#039;s my point. You can&#039;t find more then about 1.0 C of net temperature change over about 500 years from the MWP to the LIA no matter how you play the data. That&#039;s 1.0 C degree of change over 500 years and we are looking at 3.0 C over 150 years. That&#039;s a big difference and something human civilization has never been exposed to....

So now were looking at almost 1,000,000 burned acres in Texas in the winter, drying up of our great rivers and apparently another record hurricane year, Arctic ice thats not reforming and not reflecting radiation backto space, record levels of atmospheric CO2...]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>RE # 105</p>
<p>John,</p>
<p>  No you can not get any answer that you want. That&#8217;s my point. You can&#8217;t find more then about 1.0 C of net temperature change over about 500 years from the MWP to the LIA no matter how you play the data. That&#8217;s 1.0 C degree of change over 500 years and we are looking at 3.0 C over 150 years. That&#8217;s a big difference and something human civilization has never been exposed to&#8230;.</p>
<p>So now were looking at almost 1,000,000 burned acres in Texas in the winter, drying up of our great rivers and apparently another record hurricane year, Arctic ice thats not reforming and not reflecting radiation backto space, record levels of atmospheric CO2&#8230;</p>
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