I believe my work has not been taken seriously because accepting it means accepting continuous long term buildup after we are forced to stop emitting.

As the theory maintains CO2 tends to make clearer skies. Clearer skies allow more heat to escape into space, especially from land and therefore from the northern hemisphere in winter. Colder atmosphere draws more CO2 out of the ocean by thermal diffusion. So when we stop it will continue to build up, at a lower rate but at a rate that gradually increases with time.

Cold air from northern winter interacting with warmer, moist air from the southern hemisphere is what causes the violent weather. As bad as it is getting now, believing this theory means accepting that it will continue to get worse.

The Faint Sun paradox was first proposed by Carl Sagan who pointed out that the geological evidence that liquid oceans existed on Earth 4 billion years ago appears incompatible with a solar output 30% dimmer than today. Therefore a self regulating temperature caused by the Oceans seems an obvious solution for planet Earth. Some more ideas on this can be found at http://clivebest.com/blog/?p=2525 and later posts.

I can’t understand why the work of LG Bell has not been taken up for serious consideration in the climate science world. No-one else has explained why the Earth has entered a 100,00 year ice age oscillation for millions of years after far warmer eons with less incident solar radiation.

A 70% water coverage of the Earth’s surface for 4 billion years must be the main stabiliser of the Earth’s climate.

If the planet is cooling – for whatever reasons – where does this energy come from?

The community of climatologists predicts a progressive global warming [IPCC Fourth Assessment Report—Climate Change, 2007. The Scientific Basis. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge] that will not be interrupted by a glacial inception for the next 50 ka [Berger and Loutre, 2002. An exceptionally long Interglacial ahead, Science 297, 1287–1288]. These predictions are based on continuously increasing anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions and on the orbital forcing that will provide only muted insolation variations for the next 50 ka. To assess the potential climate development without human interference, we analyse climate proxy records from Europe and the North Atlantic of Marine Isotope Stage (MIS) 11 (423–362 ka BP), an interval when insolation variations show a strong linear correlation with those of the recent past and the future. This analysis suggests that the insolation minimum at 397 ka BP, which provides the best available analogue to the present insolation minimum, terminated interglacial conditions in Europe. At that time, tundra–steppe vegetation spread in Central Europe and pine forests dominated in the eastern Mediterranean region. Because the intensities of the 397 ka BP and present insolation minima are very similar, we conclude that under natural boundary conditions the present insolation minimum holds the potential to terminate the Holocene interglacial. Our findings support the Ruddiman hypothesis [Ruddiman, W., 2003. The Anthropogenic Greenhouse Era began thousands of years ago. Climate Change 61, 261–293], which proposes that early anthropogenic greenhouse gas emission prevented the inception of a glacial that would otherwise already have started.

Will we end up thanking the Chinese for all those new coal-fired power plants?

Ref: Müller, U.C., and Pross, J., Lesson from the past: present insolation minimum holds potential for glacial inception, Quaternary Science Reviews, Volume 26, Issues 25-28, December 2007, Pages 3025-3029 abstract

Regarding the original question about the time required for the onset of the next glacial stage, without man’s influence. The best way to answer it is to compare temperature and CO2 data over time, from Antarctic ice cores, with Oxygen-isotope ratio data from ocean sediment cores. This latter data gives a rate of glaciation so you can tell when glacial stages start and end. Interglacial periods remained fairly constant for the last 4 cycles at about 60,000yr but glacial stages increased in order 30, 40, 60, to 70 Thousand years respectively. since it has been about 20,000yr since the climate started to warm up and assuming this interglacial period the same as those in the past it would have been another 40,00yr until the onset of major glaciation.

Glacial stages vary because they have to end either by the ocean freezing or by the atmosphere being heated by a summer cycle (third report reference in #7 above) As I mentioned somewhere Milankovic cycles have been causing the climate to become colder over the last 400,000yr so glacial stages get longer. For the first two the summer heating cycles were sufficient to end the glacial regime, but as they weakened it was necessary to have the ocean freeze which takes much longer.