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	<title>Comments on: More on Positive and Negative Responders</title>
	<atom:link href="http://climateaudit.org/2007/04/01/more-on-positive-and-negative-responders/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://climateaudit.org/2007/04/01/more-on-positive-and-negative-responders/</link>
	<description>by Steve McIntyre</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Mon, 20 May 2013 05:49:54 +0000</lastBuildDate>
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	<item>
		<title>By: bender</title>
		<link>http://climateaudit.org/2007/04/01/more-on-positive-and-negative-responders/#comment-83780</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[bender]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 01 Oct 2009 15:40:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=1319#comment-83780</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[dendrorumination:
The &quot;positive&quot; responders are hypersensitive responses to &quot;temperature&quot; - in reality permafrost-melting, leading to increased MOISTURE availability early and late in the growing season (thanks, Jarkko). They are more likely to be found at frozen tundra/bog treeline. Briffa is making good use of these in the case of Yamal larch.
.
The &quot;negative&quot; responders are responding to increasingly DRY conditions in alpine scenarios. Hughes explains why he wants to avoid these, in the case of California bcps.
.
The trees are reacting mostly to changes in moisture.
.
Briffa and Hughes probably already figured this out and are sitting on a mountain of data, waiting for Copenhagen to pass.
.
Just a WAG.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>dendrorumination:<br />
The &#8220;positive&#8221; responders are hypersensitive responses to &#8220;temperature&#8221; &#8211; in reality permafrost-melting, leading to increased MOISTURE availability early and late in the growing season (thanks, Jarkko). They are more likely to be found at frozen tundra/bog treeline. Briffa is making good use of these in the case of Yamal larch.<br />
.<br />
The &#8220;negative&#8221; responders are responding to increasingly DRY conditions in alpine scenarios. Hughes explains why he wants to avoid these, in the case of California bcps.<br />
.<br />
The trees are reacting mostly to changes in moisture.<br />
.<br />
Briffa and Hughes probably already figured this out and are sitting on a mountain of data, waiting for Copenhagen to pass.<br />
.<br />
Just a WAG.</p>
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		<title>By: Steve Sadlov</title>
		<link>http://climateaudit.org/2007/04/01/more-on-positive-and-negative-responders/#comment-83779</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Steve Sadlov]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 07 Apr 2007 01:12:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=1319#comment-83779</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Bumping this up so jae can see my comments about some of the top 50 annual diurnal range cities I am most familiar with from personal experience. A final set of anecdotes in this regard.

Where there are not overt &quot;fog gaps&quot; along the California coast (and also, along the lowest latitude portions of the coast, where SSTs start to rise a bit), there can be some truly amazing mid summer thermal gradients. For example, there are places along the central coast and south coast, where you can literally go from 55 - 64 Deg F, with overcast, and possibly even local drizzle, to over 90 or even higher, over a distance of no more than 10 miles. When I lived on the south coast, 20 plus years ago, I used to sometimes want to get away from what is called the &quot;June gloom&quot; - days on end of coastal overcast that never burns off. Such a condition is actually caused by the combination of persistent oppresive heat inland, combined with a net Westerly (but not enough of one to cool the interior). I would quite literally hop in my car, overcast, low 60s. I would drive over the first range, 3000 feet tall. Even prior to reaching the summit I&#039;d rise above the marine layer into the sun. There, it would be 85F. Crossing the summit, and dropping into a piedmont area (~ 1000 ft elev) which was not getting any of the marine layer, it would literally be 100 deg F. Nearly a 40 deg F gradient, over less than 10 miles.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Bumping this up so jae can see my comments about some of the top 50 annual diurnal range cities I am most familiar with from personal experience. A final set of anecdotes in this regard.</p>
<p>Where there are not overt &#8220;fog gaps&#8221; along the California coast (and also, along the lowest latitude portions of the coast, where SSTs start to rise a bit), there can be some truly amazing mid summer thermal gradients. For example, there are places along the central coast and south coast, where you can literally go from 55 &#8211; 64 Deg F, with overcast, and possibly even local drizzle, to over 90 or even higher, over a distance of no more than 10 miles. When I lived on the south coast, 20 plus years ago, I used to sometimes want to get away from what is called the &#8220;June gloom&#8221; &#8211; days on end of coastal overcast that never burns off. Such a condition is actually caused by the combination of persistent oppresive heat inland, combined with a net Westerly (but not enough of one to cool the interior). I would quite literally hop in my car, overcast, low 60s. I would drive over the first range, 3000 feet tall. Even prior to reaching the summit I&#8217;d rise above the marine layer into the sun. There, it would be 85F. Crossing the summit, and dropping into a piedmont area (~ 1000 ft elev) which was not getting any of the marine layer, it would literally be 100 deg F. Nearly a 40 deg F gradient, over less than 10 miles.</p>
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		<title>By: Steve Sadlov</title>
		<link>http://climateaudit.org/2007/04/01/more-on-positive-and-negative-responders/#comment-83778</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Steve Sadlov]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 06 Apr 2007 01:58:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=1319#comment-83778</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[RE: #79 - also of note - among the top 50 cities, there are two that are amazingly close to the coast - Santa Rosa and Hollister. Santa Rosa is the most amazing, since the lone range of the Coast Ranges separating it from the Pacific is quite low - only a bit over 1000 ft. It&#039;s actually only 50 miles north of SF and even gets a bit of coastal overcast at times. Hollister is even closer to the coast in terms of straight line distance from Monterey Bay, but, the mountains, with the exception of the Pajaro River gap are higher than the ones separating Santa Rosa from the sea. Also of note, there are no mountains betweenn Hollister and the south end of SF Bay - when there is a sea breeze from the NW it does reach Hollister (but only just, and quite well warmed at that point by the passage over 40 miles of Santa Clara Valley floor). Some others not as close, but not much further from the shore - Paso Robles, Ukiah and Cambrian Park. The first two are quite interesting cases. They are both in piedmontish areas, separated by 2000ish foot ridges from the ocean. They both get below freezing nightly in the winter and have semi arid climates, with notable grass land and black (deciduous) oak savanna. Both are also known as excellent terroirs for Syrah, Zinfandel and other heat tolerant vines. You can count on 100 deg plus temps. I&#039;d say based on my experience, Ukiah has higher absolute summer highs than Paso, but Paso is less variable during summer, hanging in the 90s daytime high wise instead of swinging between 80s and 100s like Ukiah.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>RE: #79 &#8211; also of note &#8211; among the top 50 cities, there are two that are amazingly close to the coast &#8211; Santa Rosa and Hollister. Santa Rosa is the most amazing, since the lone range of the Coast Ranges separating it from the Pacific is quite low &#8211; only a bit over 1000 ft. It&#8217;s actually only 50 miles north of SF and even gets a bit of coastal overcast at times. Hollister is even closer to the coast in terms of straight line distance from Monterey Bay, but, the mountains, with the exception of the Pajaro River gap are higher than the ones separating Santa Rosa from the sea. Also of note, there are no mountains betweenn Hollister and the south end of SF Bay &#8211; when there is a sea breeze from the NW it does reach Hollister (but only just, and quite well warmed at that point by the passage over 40 miles of Santa Clara Valley floor). Some others not as close, but not much further from the shore &#8211; Paso Robles, Ukiah and Cambrian Park. The first two are quite interesting cases. They are both in piedmontish areas, separated by 2000ish foot ridges from the ocean. They both get below freezing nightly in the winter and have semi arid climates, with notable grass land and black (deciduous) oak savanna. Both are also known as excellent terroirs for Syrah, Zinfandel and other heat tolerant vines. You can count on 100 deg plus temps. I&#8217;d say based on my experience, Ukiah has higher absolute summer highs than Paso, but Paso is less variable during summer, hanging in the 90s daytime high wise instead of swinging between 80s and 100s like Ukiah.</p>
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		<title>By: bender</title>
		<link>http://climateaudit.org/2007/04/01/more-on-positive-and-negative-responders/#comment-83777</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[bender]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 06 Apr 2007 00:44:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=1319#comment-83777</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Re: opening graphic.
&lt;blockquote&gt;Here is the figure showing the POS and NEG chronologies in Pisaric et al 2007&lt;/blockquote&gt;
Wait a sec, is this a case of NEG vs POS responders, or EARLY vs LATE responders? Because look at the divergence pattern 1900-1920. It&#039;s opposite of that observed in the late 20th c.: the POS are NEG and the NEG are POS!]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Re: opening graphic.</p>
<blockquote><p>Here is the figure showing the POS and NEG chronologies in Pisaric et al 2007</p></blockquote>
<p>Wait a sec, is this a case of NEG vs POS responders, or EARLY vs LATE responders? Because look at the divergence pattern 1900-1920. It&#8217;s opposite of that observed in the late 20th c.: the POS are NEG and the NEG are POS!</p>
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		<title>By: Steve Sadlov</title>
		<link>http://climateaudit.org/2007/04/01/more-on-positive-and-negative-responders/#comment-83776</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Steve Sadlov]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 05 Apr 2007 15:56:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=1319#comment-83776</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Redoing the earlier post the best I can.....

On the link posted by jae in #79 - the number 1 place in CONUS for annual variation is Bishop, California. Bishop just so happens to be the closest major ground measurement station to the White Mountains.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Redoing the earlier post the best I can&#8230;..</p>
<p>On the link posted by jae in #79 &#8211; the number 1 place in CONUS for annual variation is Bishop, California. Bishop just so happens to be the closest major ground measurement station to the White Mountains.</p>
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		<title>By: Steve Sadlov</title>
		<link>http://climateaudit.org/2007/04/01/more-on-positive-and-negative-responders/#comment-83775</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Steve Sadlov]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Apr 2007 22:37:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=1319#comment-83775</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[There seems to be a problem with this thread. New posts are not being added. Even accounting for the cache, there is clearly something wrong.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>There seems to be a problem with this thread. New posts are not being added. Even accounting for the cache, there is clearly something wrong.</p>
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		<title>By: Steve Sadlov</title>
		<link>http://climateaudit.org/2007/04/01/more-on-positive-and-negative-responders/#comment-83774</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Steve Sadlov]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Apr 2007 22:22:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=1319#comment-83774</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I had a post here addressing the fact Bishop has the greatest annual variation. What happened to it?]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I had a post here addressing the fact Bishop has the greatest annual variation. What happened to it?</p>
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		<title>By: Steve Sadlov</title>
		<link>http://climateaudit.org/2007/04/01/more-on-positive-and-negative-responders/#comment-83773</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Steve Sadlov]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Apr 2007 19:49:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=1319#comment-83773</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[RE: #78 - Consider the implications of that in terms of the growth characteristics of non coastal trees of the Western US. Trees out here, away from the marine modified climate zones, are innately able to accomodate very wide swings in temperature, the highest in the US if not the planet. In terms of temperature limations, the &quot;inverse quadratic&quot; for such trees is wide and shallow. Another typical adaptation, allowing trees in typical inland climates to survive, is their ability to ramp up their metabolism when moisture is available, particularly when it&#039;s available when the sun angle is high. Conversely, they go dormant when it&#039;s dry, even to the point of shedding needles / leaves. I see this with the coast live oaks on my land. They are mainly invese quadratic moisture limited, with a weak inverse quadratic temperature limination term. My doug firs have lesser temperature sensitivity and can tolerate more moisture than the oaks - on the dry side they are seemingly more hardy as well. I am in the transition zone between what I&#039;d term wet northern mediterranean and inland semi arid northern mediterranean mid elevation. Go inland and you get pure play. Take for example, just to pull one out of my hat, Cedar City, UT. There you&#039;ll truly see fire and ice over the course of a year, and during the high sun angle times of the year, the diurnal variation, like Alamosa, not all that far to the east of there, is immense. The trees living there might as well be cactuses. That&#039;s their mode of operation.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>RE: #78 &#8211; Consider the implications of that in terms of the growth characteristics of non coastal trees of the Western US. Trees out here, away from the marine modified climate zones, are innately able to accomodate very wide swings in temperature, the highest in the US if not the planet. In terms of temperature limations, the &#8220;inverse quadratic&#8221; for such trees is wide and shallow. Another typical adaptation, allowing trees in typical inland climates to survive, is their ability to ramp up their metabolism when moisture is available, particularly when it&#8217;s available when the sun angle is high. Conversely, they go dormant when it&#8217;s dry, even to the point of shedding needles / leaves. I see this with the coast live oaks on my land. They are mainly invese quadratic moisture limited, with a weak inverse quadratic temperature limination term. My doug firs have lesser temperature sensitivity and can tolerate more moisture than the oaks &#8211; on the dry side they are seemingly more hardy as well. I am in the transition zone between what I&#8217;d term wet northern mediterranean and inland semi arid northern mediterranean mid elevation. Go inland and you get pure play. Take for example, just to pull one out of my hat, Cedar City, UT. There you&#8217;ll truly see fire and ice over the course of a year, and during the high sun angle times of the year, the diurnal variation, like Alamosa, not all that far to the east of there, is immense. The trees living there might as well be cactuses. That&#8217;s their mode of operation.</p>
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		<title>By: jae</title>
		<link>http://climateaudit.org/2007/04/01/more-on-positive-and-negative-responders/#comment-83772</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[jae]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Apr 2007 19:09:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=1319#comment-83772</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[An interesting sidelight to 77.  Alamosa, CO has the &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.weatherpages.com/variety/diurnal.html&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;highest diurnal temp&lt;/a&gt;. variation in the nation: 108.9 deg. F (42.7 C)!]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>An interesting sidelight to 77.  Alamosa, CO has the <a href="http://www.weatherpages.com/variety/diurnal.html" rel="nofollow">highest diurnal temp</a>. variation in the nation: 108.9 deg. F (42.7 C)!</p>
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		<title>By: jae</title>
		<link>http://climateaudit.org/2007/04/01/more-on-positive-and-negative-responders/#comment-83771</link>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[jae]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Apr 2007 17:11:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.climateaudit.org/?p=1319#comment-83771</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[66, Steve M:

&lt;blockquote&gt;#66. Paul, in some cases, they measure MXD and other things, but my impression is that the problem isnt under-determination but weak relationships. I&#039;m going to post something interesting on a Rob Wilson site where both MXD and RW are available.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

I wonder if you are alluding to something I&#039;ve been thinking about.  I wonder if the dendros have tried looking at some combinations of ring width and densities.  Maybe something like G = aw + bd + e, where G is an artificial growth parameter, w is ring width, and d is either ring density or latewood density.  It seems to me that during cool periods both w and d would decrease.  During moderate periods, w would increase and d would be moderate; during hot times (down side of quadratic), w would be small and d would be large.  Part of the divergence problem could be increasing temperatures. Average July temperatures at Alamosa, CO (about 6500 ft. elev.) are 18.3 deg. C, meaning that during the day, temperatures spend a lot of time over the 20-25 deg. hump of the upside down U in July.  Tree line in CO is approximately 11,000 feet.  Assuming the trees that are sampled are about 10,500 ft and the lapse rate is 2 deg. C per M ft., the average July temperature at that elevation could be about 10 deg.  So, daytime temperatures could easily be over 20 degrees, even at that elevation.]]></description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>66, Steve M:</p>
<blockquote><p>#66. Paul, in some cases, they measure MXD and other things, but my impression is that the problem isnt under-determination but weak relationships. I&#8217;m going to post something interesting on a Rob Wilson site where both MXD and RW are available.</p></blockquote>
<p>I wonder if you are alluding to something I&#8217;ve been thinking about.  I wonder if the dendros have tried looking at some combinations of ring width and densities.  Maybe something like G = aw + bd + e, where G is an artificial growth parameter, w is ring width, and d is either ring density or latewood density.  It seems to me that during cool periods both w and d would decrease.  During moderate periods, w would increase and d would be moderate; during hot times (down side of quadratic), w would be small and d would be large.  Part of the divergence problem could be increasing temperatures. Average July temperatures at Alamosa, CO (about 6500 ft. elev.) are 18.3 deg. C, meaning that during the day, temperatures spend a lot of time over the 20-25 deg. hump of the upside down U in July.  Tree line in CO is approximately 11,000 feet.  Assuming the trees that are sampled are about 10,500 ft and the lapse rate is 2 deg. C per M ft., the average July temperature at that elevation could be about 10 deg.  So, daytime temperatures could easily be over 20 degrees, even at that elevation.</p>
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