Sept 9: Updated to follow Hurricane Ike, and possible US impacts in the next 4-5 days
The North Atlantic tropics are becoming very active as the calendar approaches the climatological peak of the season (September 11). With high sea-surface temperatures and generally favorable atmospheric conditions (i.e. low vertical shear), every circulation or puff of convection must be watched for signs of organization. Josephine [is not too far behind] died…
Here are some handy model guidance maps and sites to follow the storm over the next week:
There are plenty of weather blogs out there, so there is really no need to provide blow-by-blow coverage of Gustav’s (Hanna’s) track. However, as we are interested in numerical model performance, if you are going to provide landfall forecasts for location and intensity, please provide some logical reasoning.