The Last Two Weeks

Obviously, I’ve done less blogging in the last couple of weeks than I have for a long time. A variety of reasons. I’ve done a lot of interviews, not all of which have resulted in quotes. I find it hard to write when I’m doing a lot of talking. Maybe, some people can’t, but I have trouble. Second, there are so many interesting topics for me in the Climategate Letters that I hardly know where to begin. I start down one interesting aspect and then get distracted and end up with notes on 15 things. Third, I’ve felt very tired.

100 Comments

  1. David Jay
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 11:08 AM | Permalink

    Been a faithful reader for (2) years. Thanks for all you do.

    credo:
    In God we Trust, all others show code and data!

  2. Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 11:28 AM | Permalink

    @Steve McIntyre

    “I’ve felt really tired.”

    Your battle against the Team is the great work of a lifetime. It is not surprising, as the smoke of battle clears away and we see for the first time the extent of the monstrous batteries and bastions of the Team, that you feel an existential fatigue.

    Thank you for your dogged persistence, your careful analysis, your iron discipline, and your good cheer.

    One thinks of Churchillian quotes:

    “Never give in. Never give in. Never, never, never, never–in nothing, great or small, large or petty–never give in, except to convictions of honor and good sense. Never yield to force. Never yield to the apparently overwhelming might of the enemy.”

    or its corollary: “We must just KBO (Keep on b*gg*ring on).”

  3. jef
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 11:34 AM | Permalink

    This is obviously a huge project. There are many layers to this. I find going into the emails somewhat addicting. Combine intrigue, gossip, groupthink and science into one and you get some interesting reading.

    It is not often that you get to see the enforcement of group mores, the informal leadership, the coordination of the “in group” vs. the Other.

    And that’s not even the Science issues and the programming issues.

    I always dutifully check this site…and I’m sure we all await your insights. But don’t worry, we have time.

    Thanks

  4. dearieme
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 11:39 AM | Permalink

    Is your tiredness caused by dismay at finding that the worst possible interpretation of the actions of some of the AGW proponents was the right one?

    Anyway, enjoy a break and a buck-up. Best wishes.

  5. J. Peden
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 11:39 AM | Permalink

    Third, I’ve felt very tired.

    Based upon your own further evaluation, run it by an MD or DO if you know of any worth really trusting. It got my attention the first time. Not that that means anything or that it would pan out to be anything major. i’m just trained to pick up on that kind of thing.

    Steve: It’s more a matter of neglecting exercise. I’ve been playing less squash than usual because of a nagging and now chronic groin injury. But I’m playing in a Century doubles tournament this weekend against very good players and that is very cleansing. I have a very very hard match tonight that I’m looking forward to.

  6. fFreddy
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 11:56 AM | Permalink

    Give ‘em hell, Steve.

  7. Don Wagner
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 12:01 PM | Permalink

    We are all very grateful for what you’ve accomplished Steve Look after yourself first. We’d hate to see your health “decline”

  8. airfoilmod
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 12:11 PM | Permalink

    A veteran of political Press Warring, I need to provide a heads up to Steve Mc.

    I understand you are a Statistician; relative to your Field, I applaud your work, we all owe you a debt that cannot be repaid. Beyond that, please be cautious in your public comment. Media is beyond your ken, by definition, that is not meant as criticism, it is actually a profound compliment to one with Integrity. A silent Press is as a female Lion in the grass, ready to pounce.

    All I can say is you will become disillusioned with the arena immediately, your honesty will be made to look like naivete, your passion like mental illness.

    Trust me, and be well.

    Thank you for everyone, Will

  9. SteveS
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 12:18 PM | Permalink

    Fourth, You’ve probably been eating Polonium 435 on your Cornflakes. //
    Rallies across the UK in support of Copenhagen! // Radio4 states that the Head of the IPCC says that the science is supported by HUNDREDS of scientists Worldwide. (First time I heard a number put on it)! 31000 including 9000PHDs suing Gore.

  10. Zer0th
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 12:19 PM | Permalink

    The Caribbean is nice at this time of year….

  11. P Gosselin
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 12:21 PM | Permalink

    Not the most encouraging words you’ve ever written here.
    Sounds like the “I have no idea what to get my wife for Christmas” blues are setting in.
    I hope you get back on track real quick.

  12. David Harington
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 12:22 PM | Permalink

    Behind you 100% Steve. They will raise a statue to you one of these days.

  13. Doug in Seattle
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 12:24 PM | Permalink

    Steve, Thank you for your work.

    Your dogged pursuit for the truth appears to be paying off. I say appears because the battle for openness is not over. The forces lined up against full disclosure of the data and code are still formidable and they will not lie down willingly.

    For over six years you have kept to the high road and have cautioned readers to be careful about piling on. This has not been easy, especially when one considers the venom spewing at you from the team.

    I hope that reviews of the data and code are forthcoming from this recent release of material. If it doesn’t happen, then those seeking the truth will once again be forced to endure the long slog that occurred since the Wegman hearings. I hope your fatigue is not about this possibility.

    Thank you again and take a rest for a few days. Like Inhofe (from Stewart video), you may need to recharge your batteries.

  14. Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 12:24 PM | Permalink

    Steve, I can’t say it any more eloquently than Christopher (or Winston, for that matter), but as a long-time reader, some-time tip jar contributor, and full-time supporter, it’s no surprise you feel tired. I feel tired just reading your posts: I’m constantly amazed at how much thought, energy and attention to detail you put into your efforts and your writing. It’s hardly sufficient to say “thanks”, but… Thanks.

    Enjoy your squash tournament.

  15. P Gosselin
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 12:25 PM | Permalink

    I can imagine you’ve made lots of enemies – big one too.
    Telling the truth in dangerous times is a revolutionary act.
    I hope the blood hounds aren’t getting to you.

  16. Fred
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 12:26 PM | Permalink

    First Bre-X
    Now ClimateGate.

    You deserve a rest. If the global warming thingy hasn’t made it too unbearably hot or the rising oceans haven’t wiped them out , this is a great time to laze about on a Mexican or Caribbean beach.

    We can get by without you . . . for awhile.

  17. theduke
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 12:28 PM | Permalink

    Steve: if you are tired, I recommend 2 weeks incommunicado on Maui. The whales are arriving around now and it’s completely serene.

    Re-charges me every time.

  18. michel
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 12:31 PM | Permalink

    Rest, relax, and take your time. And don’t play too hard! You, like the rest of us, are not as young as you were. Competitive sport can be dangerously taxing. The persistent injury is telling you something. Tiredness is telling you something too. Take both seriously. We do not want some later leaked email saying it ‘might be just as well…’ or whatever they said about John Daly, about you.

    Congratulations are in order. One realizes you had nothing to do with the leak. But you have made a huge contribution to the growing realization that there is no alternative to openness and transparency, and the speed and nature of reactions to what the leak disclosed are much to be credited to you among others.

    The social and organizational aspects of this will work their way through, that stuff is not your main interest, or one imagines your particular strength. The analysis is what you’ve contributed. Whenever you’re able to post on some analytical topic again, it will have been worth waiting for. No rush.

  19. ThinkingScientist
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 12:48 PM | Permalink

    I have contributed nothing material here over the many years I have followed this website. I appreciate your professionalism and focus and constant reminders to keep the eye on the facts and not the politics.

    Jones, Mann et al may well go down in infamy but I suspect that in the history of science you will become an example of the dogged determination to arrive at truth. You will be in good company and should be proud.

    There are millions of people out here who are behind you. No pressure, of course. We all look forward to your next post, however long it takes.

    Regards,

    Ashley Francis

  20. STEPHEN PARKER
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 12:48 PM | Permalink

    Take a rest, steve you have earned it. You should not be called a sceptic or a denier. All you do is point out mistakes in their math and methods. We will need you over the next five years or so, because they will spin,spin spin, so many salaries and pensions are tied in with warmist jobs.
    Some of you may not be aware,but the uk met office is a part of the minisry of defence, therefor its paymaster is the uk govt, so we need people like steve to keep them honest with this ” three year review”.
    This is just the start of a long road.

  21. Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 12:55 PM | Permalink

    Mr McIntyre – you deserve a seriously good relax in the sunshine. Your traffic stats show just how massive your impact has been on uncovering this scandal.

    A place in the history books is no less than you deserve.

    Many thanks from me here in Blighty.

  22. cogito
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 1:14 PM | Permalink

    Steve, I appreciate your professionalism in handling the present situation. And thanks for the many eye openers you have provided over the past years.
    When Einstein learned that some of his peers had published a book titled “100 authors against Einstein” he replied “If they wanted to prove me wrong, 1 author would have been enough”.
    Take care.

  23. Esmeralda Dangerfield
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 1:46 PM | Permalink

    I have never “tipped” but will, today.

    I agree with AirFoilMod (Will) about dealing with the media. An advisor/handler might well be prudent. I’m a bit creaky, but might be able to help. Possibly, “Will” would be good. Or, maybe the Pielke’s know someone…?

    I am grateful for you and proud of you. Wish I could offer more. ….Ez

  24. NorseRaider
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 1:50 PM | Permalink

    We salute you.

  25. aylamp
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 1:50 PM | Permalink

    Steve,
    I knew that on my daily visits to CA, one day the shenanigans of the team would be exposed in a major way. I look forward to a considered analysis of the e-mail content.
    Respect!
    Jim P.

    But facts are chiels that winna ding,
    And canna be disputed [Robert Burns]

  26. John G. Bell
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 1:51 PM | Permalink

    Steve M.,
    Someone should fly you out to Tahiti for a good rest. Personally I think CRU owes you a consulting fee for helping to bring their problems to light.

    $200K would at least show their heart is in the right place and would be pocket change for the profligate CRU.

  27. tc
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 1:56 PM | Permalink

    Steve,

    If you’re tired, how about starting to delegate things? Probably (and most likely) I’m not as proficient as you are whit R, but a few things I can do. Many people could read and write, and I’m sure will be glad to contribute. The power of AGW establishment is the shear size. We can counter that. Think about R and open-source community and what could be achieved.

    TC

  28. Esmeralda Dangerfield
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 1:56 PM | Permalink

    I had to go to…

    ClimateAudit.org

    …to find the “Tip Jar.” If it’s on this site, it’s hard to find.

    Time to make it more prominent!

    Thank you, once more. ….Ez

  29. Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 1:58 PM | Permalink

    Steve

    I remember having an office down the hall from John Christy in the late 1980’s. He found something interesting in that no one had been looking at satellite temperature records that were stored on tapes, measured by NASA satellites. Dr. Christy took the time to look at this data and reduce it to a paper.

    This paper took issue with the computer models of the time showing a dramatic global warming. Most people today don’t remember that the old models from the 80’s projected much more warming than the current ones. Dr. Christy’s (and I think McNiter) paper showed that the actual measurements from satellites and balloons diverged from what the models were saying. I don’t think that he had any motivation other than to help improve the science and that the result would be better models and more data collection.

    Very quickly this paper was attacked and seized upon by various interests and before long Dr. Christy was hauled before non other than Senator Albert Gore to be personally pilloried. This began a completely new era for Dr. Christy, that has helped to lead where he and others are today. He, and others like him, are still pilloried, claimed to be shills of big oil, et al. but his work back then has led him to amazing places.

    The same is with you Steve. I don’t think that you ever thought when you began this interest in the arcane details of the statistics related to temperature reconstructions, that you would end up being in the position that you are today. Take pride in this, realize that what you have done, are doing, and hopefully will do, will be of material benefit to billions of people, by helping to bring clarity to a topic that has been hijacked by the political class for their own ends.

    Good job.

  30. Hoi Polloi
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 1:58 PM | Permalink

    Let the force be with you. My guess is that after the Climate Letters have been revealed which proved many of your points, you’ve personally reached a milestone and subconcious you’re allowing yourself a pause after years of hard working.

    Some maybe advise; you’re against the multi billion State aided AGW Taliban and it’s just too much for one person. A more coordinated approach for both the Climate Science and SMS is absolutely necessary.

    Why not start a CA Institute? I’m sure there are plenty of sponsors to aid you and your collegues. This whole thing is just too much and becoming to global for being handle through a blog.

    Wish you succes and be careful with your health, you’re in the danger zone (age-wise I mean).

  31. Hoi Polloi
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 2:00 PM | Permalink

    MSM (not SMS) du…

  32. Tony
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 2:06 PM | Permalink

    Mr. McIntyre: Please pace yourself for the long run.
    I’ve been slowing telling people about the evidence, knowing that to change their minds I need to persistently apply gentle pressure. It takes time.

  33. DeNihilist
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 2:13 PM | Permalink

    Steve, just wanted to let you know that between you, Lucia and John at scepticalscience, I have found the best balance on this issue. Your fellow contributors are up to your standards and all really help to “inform” those like me, just an average dude. For this the thanx of the many are warranted. Please take time and care of yourself, and know that many have your back.

  34. Jack Wedel
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 2:19 PM | Permalink

    Just a thought from an old man:

    ‘Inside the mind of every old person is the mind of a young person saying, ‘What the h*** happened?’

    So, put your feet up and relax – we need you, especially here in Canada. Let someone else shovel the snow off the driveway.

  35. Peter S
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 2:25 PM | Permalink

    I agree with Hoi Polloi. After years of hard, focussed pushing against a seemingly immovable object it can feel disorientating when that object suddenly collapses before your very eyes. Perhaps especially so when the collapse is experienced as only an indirect result of that pushing. Mental energy is dispersed as one suddenly finds oneself in a completely new – changed – landscape… no longer sure where to organise and regroup ones ideas, or where the new rules of engagement are. I think such moments could rightly be called tiredness – or even an understandable confusion. It might be good at such a time to help out others out who carry on the work – inspired, every one of them, by the remarkable example you have set!

  36. a koch
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 2:38 PM | Permalink

    Steve,

    As a new reader to your site, but one who has absorbed a large amount of information these past few weeks, let me add my admiration to your work. My day job is a civil litigator in large, sometimes very large cases, and I’m used to data dumps that contain thousands or even tens of thousands of emails. You often get a very good sense of what’s what just by sitting back and reading email chains, linking up who blind copied who, how soon someone responded, and so on. While it’s not scientific, I have found over the years that one can get awfully good at piecing together what is really said and what is really going on in large, sprawling , dynamic organizations of people from their communications with each other day after day and year after year.

    I downloaded my own copy of the emails and ran them through an OCR so I could search them on my own, and I have to say it’s awfully easy to conclude what these guys didn’t know, and how they wiggled to avoid having it be known. If this was a securities issue, I’ve seen email trails way less clear that were the basis of indictments.

    When I started reading all this I was pretty agnostic about the whole issue– not being born yesterday I assumed there was some fudging and politicking going on to pile on some wealth transfer, but still, having been around scientists and inventors for years in my practice, I assumed there was some good basis for alarm. After reading the emails I don’t see how anyone without a vested interest can concluded that Mann et all truly believed their conclusions. Pretty disappointing, isn’t it?

    Best,

    Andrew K

  37. Kevin Davis
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 2:44 PM | Permalink

    Mr. McIntyre et al appear to be first-rate analysts who have exposed several troubling flaws in climate research over the years, yet arguably their greatest contribution has been in exposing the tribalism and stonewalling in such an important field.

    They have led public opinion in a steady shift against activist clique science. Even if the CRU emails had never been leaked, the climate research field would likely have become almost fully transparent in a few years thanks to Steve’s efforts.

    Now climatologists everywhere will almost certainly rush towards full openness if they hope to survive, and their research will likely improve considerably due to the additional scrutiny that they know it will receive. Dissenting research will stand a much fairer chance of being considered. Climatology will evolve towards the multi-disciplinary field that it should always have been. While there will always be politics involved, the ClimateGate revelations are now incontrovertible. There will be no going back.

    This has interesting implications for Climate Audit, and for Steve. This is proably an unwarranted jump to a conclusion, but perhaps his tiredness is a side-effect of having suddenly realized a goal that has been central to his life for so many years, similar to how depression can often afflict Olympic medal winners. He never sought to debunk AGW, merely to hold the research accountable. Now that has largely been done.

    Hopefully this is just the beginning. Perhaps Mr. McIntyre will come to be a well-known and well-regarded skeptic who makes frequent media appearances, and who maintains this blog to keep him honest. Maybe the skepticism will move beyond climate science, and the blog will be renamed Everything Audit.

  38. Cal
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 2:44 PM | Permalink

    Mr. McIntyre, you have my deepest respect and appreciation for your perseverance and dedication to this issue.

    I’ve been bothered by some readers’ requests for more posts or easy-to-understand summaries. You sir, have done your job. If people want to more perspective on this issue they should study it themselves (the information exists!), demand coverage from their preferred news outlets or start their own blog.

    If I can be so bold as to offer you some advice: enjoy yourself! Relax! Take some time off if you can. You deserve it!

  39. John G
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 3:02 PM | Permalink

    They say that van Gogh never sold a painting in his lifetime. I know its not much consolation, Steve, but future generations will salute you. Chin up.

  40. robert
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 3:08 PM | Permalink

    I’ve been a CA addict for several years now, and it’s definitely the best science blog out there. The recent revelations from the CRU leak have been overwhelming and tiring for many of us to follow, so I can’t imagine what it’s been like for Steve who’s been so intimately involved with so many of the key issues. Exhausting I’m sure.
    Maybe a break and battery re-charge would be good, but it’s definitely hard to let go when the momentum has shifted so much. Steve’s done so much heavy lifting, that he certainly needs a break even if we don’t want him to!

  41. Mark M
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 3:11 PM | Permalink

    Keep at it Stevo – the best is yet to c0me !!!

  42. hengav
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 3:21 PM | Permalink

    After a 2 week haitus from exercise and a severe case of FOMO (fear of missing out) I am fially getting off the couch and clearing my head.

    one question if you have time to answer at some point: I can find no direct link to the “McIntyre correction”

    http://blogs.news.com.au/heraldsun/andrewbolt/index.php/heraldsun/comments/how_hotter_it_truly_was/

    Could you clarify? Thanks.

  43. Peter
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 3:36 PM | Permalink

    Steve, re Christopher Chantrill’s comment – “what he said!” I couldn’t say it better.
    The truth is the thing. Most of us just want to be able to make up our own minds based on what the data says. To think that eminent scientists ‘might’ collude to corrupt the data, suppress dissenting voices and persecute (yes persecute) those who raise their voices in opposition is astounding and intolerable.
    For your diligent pursuit of the truth, you have my heartfelt thanks. That you have done it on your own dime, in your own time and without the huge resources of the scientific community makes you a personal hero of mine (for what its worth!).
    No wonder you are tired.
    Thank you for adding immeasurably to the quality of our learning and for following the trail, where ever it leads, and for raising the standard of this debate. We all owe you a great big vote of thanks. Sadly, the AGW proponents will never really understand the real nature of your contribution.
    Cheers Steve,
    Peter.
    .

  44. Bernie
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 3:41 PM | Permalink

    The Mets’ decision to revisit the HadCrut temperature record is a milestone – and a vindication. Congratulations. Time will tell whether they will truly live up to their promise of openness and transparency.

    I listened to the Romm orchestrated conference call (available at Career Progress – though the audio is not great) with messrs Mann, Schmidt and Oppenheimer. They offered no new news. I didn’t quite get to the end, but nobody raised the isssue of what a warmer MWP would actually mean. On and on they went about the “settled science” – despite Gavin’s essay that only contrarians argue that pro-AGW believe the science settled. Nobody really pointed out the problems with the paleoclimate data. Alas the questioners appear to have been relatively uninformed or pitched softball questions.

  45. Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 3:46 PM | Permalink

    hengav, on Bolt’s specific assertion, I think it is a bridge too far. In the largest sense, much of Climate Audit’s content over many years has been about the limits of what can be inferred from various proxies. Frequently this is based on showing how different choices of proxies lead to different conclusions. Sometimes it is criticism of specific proxies. Sometimes it is criticism of statistical inferences. But I don’t think it would be right to say that Steve and his guest posters have ever endorsed a specific reconstruction of past climate from proxies. The thrust has been an argument of poverty.

    Steve M., correct me if I’m wrong.

  46. MattN
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 4:06 PM | Permalink

    Is the tiredness caused by the increadible cathartic response to instantly realizing you were right about virtually everything?

    You do good work sir. Keep it up….

  47. hengav
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 4:15 PM | Permalink

    NW,

    Yes of course it is a bridge too far. I just have never seen that particular reconstruction and has no notation as to what was included to create the green line. I can’t find anything close to it, and I am hoping Steve can nip it in the bud before it gets pounced upon. Comments there are closed.

  48. John MacQueen
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 4:32 PM | Permalink

    Well the scandal is having an effect…

    http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/environment/article6945445.ece

    “The Met Office plans to re-examine 160 years of temperature data after admitting that public confidence in the science on man-made global warming has been shattered by leaked e-mails.

    The Met Office is confident that its analysis will eventually be shown to be correct. However, it says it wants to create a new and fully open method of analysing temperature data.”

    So it would seem transparency is on the way in at least some quarters, we will see if truly is, and who else will follow.

  49. Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 4:33 PM | Permalink

    I’m a computer expert. I’d gladly help in improving climateaudit.org hosting issues.

  50. John A
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 4:41 PM | Permalink

    CA is being moved to a (final) hosting solution better than anything we can afford on our own. It should be in place in the next few days.

  51. pyromancer76
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 4:42 PM | Permalink

    Steve, best wishes on your squash tournement. I will not be one to tell you to get some rest. “Third, I’ve felt very tired.”. You and a very few colleagues have fought a battle — you in a most gentlemanly manner (collegial coutesy)– for, what, six? eight? years, no wonder you have felt tired as this, the first, stage draws to a close.
    snip

    Congratulations to you for a beautiful effort well done!

    Now, we go to stage two (the second battle front?) and I imagine it will be, metaphorically speaking, bloody.

  52. Andre
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 4:53 PM | Permalink

    Steve, as a reader sinch many years, – this is only my second comment.

    Take som well deserved time off. We’ll be here when you come back. Have no worries :-)

  53. DABbio
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 5:04 PM | Permalink

    Figured you were pretty stressed out. Good work, Steve.

  54. dougie
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 5:07 PM | Permalink

    Hi Steve
    I can understand your fatigue, just to much to take in after all these years.
    agree with all above posts, time to take it easy & look after yourself.

    now someone has cracked the nut/with the help of the hacker/whistleblower, sit back & see where this goes.
    thanks to your years of diligence others are now on the case (report at your leisure) .

    I thank you & contributors to your site for bringing this to pass, I thank you all for the hard work involved,
    you will be acknowledged by everybody at some point for this.

    keep up the search for truth on this.
    ps. where are bender & mosh?

  55. PaddikJ
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 5:39 PM | Permalink

    Steve,

    You’re very tired? I get tired just thinking about all you do.

    People relax in different ways; if a weekend of intense, cathartic squash does it for you, then I’d say knock yourself out. Before my back & hips said “No more!”, a hard, all-day volleyball tournament did wonders for my outlook and energy levels. These days, 2 months of island-hopping in the Aegean, hiking & exploring, sounds loverly (but I’ll settle for 2 days hiking here in CO).

    If an extended break sounds good, but you’re worried about leaving your “baby,” I’d suggest that there must be a few trusted posters & friends here who could manage it for a while.

    But whatever – take care of yourself.

    PJ

  56. Daryl M
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 6:07 PM | Permalink

    Steve,

    One of the interviews seems to have born fruit. A decent article by Richard Foot about you and Ross McKitrick appeared in this morning’s Vancouver Sun (http://www.vancouversun.com/technology/Canadians+centre+climate+change+furore/2306939/story.html). For someone in the media, Foot seems to be a good guy.

    George F. Will wrote in the Washington Post that “never in peacetime history has the government-media-academic complex been in such sustained propagandistic lockstep about any subject” (http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/12/04/AR2009120403073.html). How true and what an appropriate reminder.

    I’m sure you know this as well as anyone that you are one man going up against a lavishly funded machine that takes no prisoners. You’ve made some incredible accomplishments that will no doubt pass the test of time and be remembered in history, but don’t forget to pace yourself. Find a few lieutenants to take care of the blog, watch the media and maybe even help you with you with the research. Then, after you get some rest, you can hunker down and get to work. Don’t labour over which problem to solve first. Trust your instincts and don’t look back. Build the wall one brick at a time.

    Keep up the good work. We are all proud of you and the world owes you a debt.

  57. Basil Copeland
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 6:17 PM | Permalink

    John A permalink

    CA is being moved to a (final) hosting solution better than anything we can afford on our own. It should be in place in the next few days.

    This sounds promising. However, the conjunction of “final” and “solution” was a bit jarring. I’m sure you mean “final, for now.” Nothing is ever truly “final.”

    Hope you shake off the blah’s soon, Steve.

  58. Sean Peake
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 6:21 PM | Permalink

    Sir, I am deeply appreciative of your work. I am immensely proud that you’re a Canadian. And, I am thankful for voices like yours in the wilderness. Take an extended leave to rest up. While your cause is our cause, your well-being is our concern. Do what you have to do and know that the battalion of supporters you’ve mustered will take up their positions and continue the fight until the truth arrives.

  59. Mike
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 6:27 PM | Permalink

    John A

    CA is being moved to a (final) hosting solution better than anything we can afford on our own.

    http://www.realclimateaudit.org

  60. Dave
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 6:30 PM | Permalink

    Steve:

    Relax. Take your time. Those emails aren’t going anywhere, and neither are we. There’s probably a good 2 years worth of stuff in there.

  61. sprats
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 7:22 PM | Permalink

    I hope you’re not playing AGAINST Alex Carter. He and his partner whupped my brother and his partner 3-0 this past Spring at the RCYC doubles finals. Cheers.

    Steve: I played against Josh MacDonald with an older partner yesterday and Richard Thomson/Victor Harding today. Five-game win. :) Playing Chris Deratnay and Molson Robertson in the final tomorrow. They beat Gary Waite and Tony Swift.

  62. sprats
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 7:24 PM | Permalink

    Perhaps it’s time for another doubles squash topic to take our minds off the current fun.

  63. doug
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 7:28 PM | Permalink

    Feel free to take a break. When you get quiet, people get scared about what you may be on to. Let them worry.

    If Gore can get a Nobel Peace Prize, couldn’t Steve be in in for a Nobel in Economics?

    Steve:
    I had contact with three Nobels in Economics when I was a teenager. Mike Spence was a slightly older contemporary at high school; I played golf against George Stigler in a club tournament when I was 14 or 15 ( I won:). Stigler also threw my ball into the woods on the 11th hole at Muskoka when I hit onto the green where the old guys were taking forever to put out. (I would have been 14 or 15.) And Paul Samuelson phoned me to offer a scholarship to MIT. But I haven’t done anything worthy of such honors.

  64. Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 8:00 PM | Permalink

    Tired? Two words: Vitamin D.

    You Canucks have it worst than us lower-latitude Yanks, what with shorter winter days and all that.

    I’ve been on 2000 IU a day after 50,000 IU e/o day for a couple months. It’s helped an otherwise intransigent fatigue that has lasted for 8 years.

  65. JerryM
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 8:55 PM | Permalink

    Steve,

    SHEESH! Take the time to relax! You’ve stirred up a hornet’s nest that the blogging world won’t let settle down. And you’re in the cross hairs of the AGW’ers and a hero to the skeptics. Good for you, BUT this whole Climategate thing now has a momentum that you probably can’t affect even if you wanted to. As so many of us figured out, the world is not in imminent danger of the Apocalypse. And the AGW’ers are running very, very scared. So take a flippin’ break!

    And thanks for all you’ve done.

  66. doug
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 9:29 PM | Permalink

    $100 in the tip jar towards your vacation.

    You know how James Bond, after performing super human feats to save the world, always ends up safely offshore in boat, with a babe and bottle of champagne, watching the evil empire explode in flames? You deserve a break like that. The tip can go towards the boat and the bottle. The babes are free to delegates in Copenhagen.

  67. Dave Onkels
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 9:33 PM | Permalink

    Several years ago, I developed an interest in climate science, backing into it because of the developing public policy controversy. It seemed reasonable to me, because of my background in chemistry and economics, to look at both the science and the public policy implications.

    I’ve visited literally hundreds of websites and blogs, and, of course, very early encountered
    Realclimate. I’ve plowed through whatever original data was offered, and have looked at GISS, RSS, CRU, and blah blah blah. It was easy for me to distrust the AGW apologists, because of the confidence they had in their conclusions, and because of their antipathy toward differing opinions. I posted a complaint or two about the overbearing attitude, the ad hominem, and the dismissive attitude toward posters who questioned the orthodoxy there, and man was I dissed! My posts disappeared. I was treated like an idiot cousin.

    I discovered Climateaudit, and I was impressed by your approach, which was to question the predictive ability of the models, and it clicked. I researched that, and encountered a couple of papers by J. Scott Armstrong.

    I went back to RC, and mentioned what I’d found, specifically highlighting the contrast between the atmosphere there vs. the atmosphere here. Woohoo! That disappeared in a hurry.

    Anyway, thanks for your persistence in the face of withering criticism, for your scholarship and curiosity, and for all your hard work.

    I’m sure that you’ve receive many offers for interviews on TV, and I understand that you’re an excellent TV presence. You might agree to more of those offers, unless you feel that you might compromise your place in this controversy.

    We’re all indebted.

  68. Jeff C.
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 10:19 PM | Permalink

    Re: “CA is being moved to a (final) hosting solution better than anything we can afford on our own. It should be in place in the next few days.”

    Glad to hear Exxon-Mobil will finally be carrying their weight around here! :)

    On a serious note, Steve please take care of yourself and best of luck with the tournament. Your hard work, persistence, and attention to detail has been an inspiration me and I’m sure countless others.

  69. John Broadbent
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 10:29 PM | Permalink

    Steve,

    This is a historical moment when the establishment is questioned then exposed. I believe previous whistle blowers are generally long dead, driven or pronounced insane, their families divided and bankrupted before the beliefs are overthrown. In my opinion this new phenomena where the little people who questioned the establishment are allowed to actually feel tired is the product of the world wide web. The message stick travels far, wide and fast.

    The example you have created with a cast of hundreds, and the best wishes of thousands will bring fear to the establishment. That main stream media still refuses to expose obvious examples of poor science (examples you and others have neatly wrapped and packaged for public consumption for years now) demonstrates how effectively they can be manipulated.

    Congratulations to yourself, Ross, Jean, Lucia, the Jeff’s, Anthony, Bender? and the other contributors. I trust you can be at the pointy end of the next scam and end up with a houseboat, rich as Croesus like another chap we know.

  70. Kathryn
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 10:31 PM | Permalink

    Looks like we all want and need to say thanks!

    I’m a librarian. Ready to help if needed: sorting, classifying.

    I have started a list of people to contact (like the EPA.) I hope we can make a list we can use to keep the pressure on our leaders.

  71. Rod Fabian
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 10:35 PM | Permalink

    What is astonishing is the amount of material already in CA that revealed what was going on with these proxies long before the CRU material was leaked. And now we can cross check it and find Steve and many others who post here vindicated. What an incredible feeling it must be to see all of this unfolding.

  72. J. Peden
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 10:42 PM | Permalink

    Steve: It’s more a matter of neglecting exercise.

    Good, that’s the way it works with me, too. Brain bone connected to the body bone…

  73. Jimi Bostcok
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 10:48 PM | Permalink

    I cried reading this. I cried tears for a hero. You are potentially the greatest person of the 21st century, so far. I have long taken solace in your posts as the sharp and cold wins of dogged and almost universal belief cut into my soul.

    Like the others who have responded, we are at a loss to find the words. We can never thank you enough. For us that know, we understand that if it was not for you, a single man (and so brilliantly supported by your et al), none of this would have happened.

    Whoever did the so called ‘miracle’ were inspired by you. The emails have provided all with an ironic position.

    All praise and glory to our chief, may you now take the advise of others and go somewhere far away to soak in the magnificant sun. May you swoon in teh majesty of an earth that nutures and soothes, not one that seeks to destroy, as the alarmist you have fought wished to make the dominant paradigm.

    Thank you great man. We, your legions will take it from here. We will keep the pressure on. Please just drop us all a line every now and then when you feel the energy.

  74. stevemcintyre
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 11:13 PM | Permalink

    I am happy to report that I’m playing the finals of our Century tournament tomorrow. A very hard 5-game match today. Both of my opponents had won Canadian championships at different points in their lives, so it was a very good win for me. A 2-ibuprofen game at least.

  75. George
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 11:42 PM | Permalink

    Dont worry Steve if you had enough free time to blog all day in the wake of this that would worry us.

  76. Leonaard Herchen
    Posted Dec 5, 2009 at 11:56 PM | Permalink

    Steve:
    One thing that isn’t clear is what happened to those PC they used that were built to result in hockey sticks no matter the input data. Are they still using them or did they give up on them after you showed they were biased to a certain result?
    Thanks,

  77. geo
    Posted Dec 6, 2009 at 12:29 AM | Permalink

    Don’t worry about it, Steve. The calm picking apart of detail that you excell at will never go out of season. It will just be easier for you and everyone else to focus on it and give it the attention it deserves as things calm down to something more closely approaching normal.

  78. Pat Frank
    Posted Dec 6, 2009 at 12:31 AM | Permalink

    Dennis Wingo That’s a very interesting story about John Christy’s experience in front of then-senator Gore. Richard Lindzen tells a similar story about being bullied by Al Gore, and for analogous reasons. He says Gore pressured him, without success, of course, to change his science-based position about the dangers of CO2-driven warming. As I recall, Lindzen puts that around 1992.

  79. Pat Frank
    Posted Dec 6, 2009 at 12:51 AM | Permalink

    My best wishes, too, Steve. You deserve every accolade, with an oak leaf cluster for your invariable and determined ethics.

  80. John A
    Posted Dec 6, 2009 at 3:15 AM | Permalink

    Never mind Steve. Someone appears to be doing a great job without you: http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/12/05/the-smoking-code-part-2/

  81. Chris Wright
    Posted Dec 6, 2009 at 6:27 AM | Permalink

    Steve,
    I’ve followed CA for about three years. Much of the statistics is way above my pay grade but nevertheless the importance and integrity of your work shines through like a beacon.
    I could write many paragraphs but I think two simple words sum it up quite neatly:
    Thank you.
    Chris

    P.S. has anyone looked at the data in the numerous files that have CENSORED in their names?

  82. Geoff Sherrington
    Posted Dec 6, 2009 at 6:40 AM | Permalink

    We used to catch big barramundi fish in inland waters with light tackle. It was exciting to catch a biggie, 40 lb or so. You knew you needed skill to succeed time after time. Almost every time, the barra would leap once out of the water to shake the lure, so you got an idea of the job ahead.

    Then, at the end of the dry season, some billabongs would go dry and the remaining barras would just die in large, inedible numbers. There was no excitement to enter the mud to pick one up, it just made you tired – tired about wading through mud, tired about the fun of fishing again ….

    I suspect you have the tiredness of the anticlimax. You’ve long suspected there were bigger trophies to ctach, but now they are all in plain view in the mud and inedible. Some thrill has gone from the sport.

    So what did I do when I got this tiredness? It’s not a solution for you, I’m afraid.

    I started reading Climate Audit for excitement.

  83. Posted Dec 6, 2009 at 6:58 AM | Permalink

    I can understand less of your posts. I believe you’re in a position to check the code, more than most of us are. So don’t get too much distracted… I think the core of the Climategate scandal will come from the code…
    Thanks!
    Ecotretas

  84. TKl
    Posted Dec 6, 2009 at 7:39 AM | Permalink

    Mr. McIntyre, as a long time reader of your blog I think, your exceptional outstanding work delievered many valuable insights into climate science.
    Please continue your excellent work, it is absolutely needed right now.

  85. Peter West
    Posted Dec 6, 2009 at 7:48 AM | Permalink

    Steve,

    The curtain has gone up on the next act. While the furore goes on, don’t expect to get much time away from the interviews. I understand your difficulties in switching modes. You may need to set aside a chunk of the day for interviews, and refuse any outside that window. Then you can settle down to try to come to terms with the bonanza in the data and code.

    I don’t think it’s a bad thing that you’re finding so many threads to pick up; it’s an indication of the size of the task. That probably has something to do with the tiredness as well. I have found for many years that when I am trying to come to terms with some complex new system, I get tired thinking about it. Please don’t take this suggestion amiss, but I use and recommend the nap. It’s amazing how much work is done on problems while you snooze.

    The major virtue of your blog is the detail and precision you bring to your analysis. If that takes longer in the current circumstances, so be it. While things settle down, why not just post the number of enquiries you are receiving, and links to nay other interesting developments you notice. Restrict your time on the blog as well as your time responding to interview requests, until some new lines of analysis start to settle out of the cauldron.

    I think this leak is the beginning of the end for AGW hysteria. You (and the other bloggers who have sustained the critical analysis) will probably find you have more company in the task, in spite of the minimisation strategies being employed. The blogs have been in the vanguard because they couldn’t be silenced by the perversion and corruption of the peer-review process.

    I have been reading your blog for well over two years now, and though I didn’t follow all of the detail, I read enough to know that the MWP and the LIA weren’t figments of historical imagination, and I have been waiting for the wheels to come of the AGW juggernaut. And now, I believe it is happening. Many thanks to you Steve, and to those who have been working alongside you.

  86. Henry
    Posted Dec 6, 2009 at 8:19 AM | Permalink

    Do what is time-critical but easy, such as appeals against FOI refusals, then relax.

    If you feel you must do something, then choose a topic, and just pull together the full history of the delays and failures to provide information on that single topic, including the failures of the science infrastructure such as journals and the IPCC. You have done many of these before, but they get lost because of other events. With all the internal reviews being started, remainders and updates might be helpful.

    Analysing the newly released data can wait until next year.

  87. Posted Dec 6, 2009 at 8:29 AM | Permalink

    Steve, you feel tired of a good reason – you have accomplished a miracle! :-)

  88. Brian
    Posted Dec 6, 2009 at 8:30 AM | Permalink

    Steve,

    You are a great champion in a dark age. Keep up the good work.

    Best Regards,

    Brian

  89. Josh
    Posted Dec 6, 2009 at 9:16 AM | Permalink

    Could you list the avenues you’d like to explore, where they might lead, and let the online community run with them?

    The blogosphere activity is indication that there is a lot of people willing to disect the emails, but simply need someone to co-ordinate the effort.

  90. Adam Gallon
    Posted Dec 6, 2009 at 12:10 PM | Permalink

    Christopher Booker’s picked up on The One Tree!

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/comment/columnists/christopherbooker/6738111/Climategate-reveals-the-most-influential-tree-in-the-world.html

    Stand by for more hits on the CA website!

  91. tom streck
    Posted Dec 6, 2009 at 12:22 PM | Permalink

    Steve,

    You received a nice mention and quote in this Climategate article. This is the second Sunday in a row where this reporter wrote an even to skeptical piece. This was the lead commentary on the front page of a regional newspaper between NYC and Philly. It is getting more and more mainstream press.

    http://www.mcall.com/news/all-climateqt1.7106493dec06,0,6171722.story

    Also, here is an Op-Ed from the same paper. This issue is getting warmer even if it’s getting colder outside.

    http://www.mcall.com/news/opinion/letters/all-kleinschmidt1127.7100655dec06,0,6517985.story

  92. Posted Dec 6, 2009 at 12:31 PM | Permalink

    Rest up, this is only the beginning. If your health is in decline I have “trick” you can use to hide it!

  93. MDC
    Posted Dec 6, 2009 at 1:39 PM | Permalink

    Love ya – keep up the good work

  94. Larry Johnson
    Posted Dec 6, 2009 at 4:29 PM | Permalink

    Hang in there. If Gore has any shame, he’ll wrap up his Nobel and ship it to you one of these days. Thanks for everything.

    Larry

  95. Walter Sobchak
    Posted Dec 6, 2009 at 9:32 PM | Permalink

    “Third, I’ve felt very tired.”

    As one middle aged dude to another, I say the most important thing is your health. Don’t neglect it. Go to see your Doctor.

    I had a similar episode, and it turned out to be iron deficiency brought about by excessive blood donations. Easily remedied by some iron pills and a few steak dinners. But, it could have been something more difficult.

    You are doing the Lord’s work, and it is important, but you need to look out for your health first.

  96. Jonathan Fischoff
    Posted Dec 6, 2009 at 10:30 PM | Permalink

    Don’t worry. Slow is steady, and steady is fast :).

  97. Wayne Richards
    Posted Dec 7, 2009 at 12:44 AM | Permalink

    Agreed you have thoroughly earned a break lazing in the sun. I suggest you grab your swim trunks and head for Tuktoyaktuk (hey! global warming, remember?).

    And don’t worry about polar bears roaming the beach. They’re history.

    Cheers!
    Wayne

    ps. And many, many thanks for all you’ve done.

  98. LMB
    Posted Dec 7, 2009 at 3:26 AM | Permalink

    Your blog just hit 500,000 views.

    Congrats and thank you for running it.

    Steve:
    The pre-overflow site Climate Audit has had about 6 million hits/year for a few years. This site was thrown up a couple of weeks ago.

  99. Bob K.
    Posted Dec 7, 2009 at 5:25 AM | Permalink

    Steve,
    thank you for all your work, no wonder you feel tired. Have a rest and recuperate, there is only one You – and this Planet and its population need you.

    Mann may have “supporters in higher places” (1067596623.txt), and they might be powerful – but your supporters outnumber his, I am sure of that. We already owe you so much.

    Think of your health, and take care.

  100. Posted Dec 9, 2009 at 5:38 PM | Permalink

    Sorry, the best website for glaciergirl is P38assn.org, and it was 268′ accumulated over 50 yrs. GS

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