Comments on: Trends in Disaster Losses

By: WillR

WillR — Mon, 01 Feb 2010 03:10:15 +0000

Re: WillR (Jan 31 18:06), The access has been pulled I think. This google search should find the document somewhere.

By: WillR

WillR — Sun, 31 Jan 2010 23:06:36 +0000

Canada has a web site related to disasters
http://www.hazards.ca/intro-e.html

They EC is using this document to train people — it relies heavily on IPCC 2007 report
http://www.york.ca/NR/rdonlyres/5n6qs6otqdcmhee63az2htp6kgg34ow27ew43votukklxzbjbser2tte42ride7wsje4m33husvdyrvyolbvzl6rea/Understanding+Climate+Change+Risks+in+Ontario.pdf

By: Ian

Ian — Thu, 28 Jan 2010 21:53:35 +0000

This link was posted on Roger’s blog. I’ve not had the time to review all of the background material, but it does a very good job of analysing how Briffa handled the Mann hockey stick question in 4AR (and mishandled the issues raised by the likes of Messrs McIntyre & McKitrick). Again this goes to the (obvious) lack of balance in the IPCC process. Well worth a look.

http://hro001.wordpress.com/2010/01/18/the-climate-change-game-monopoly-the-ipcc-version

By: stansvonhorch

stansvonhorch — Thu, 28 Jan 2010 18:02:25 +0000

did you ever read the editorial hans wrote before resigning? on his website he even says he resigned because they refused to publish it.

http://web.archive.org/web/20070608113014/http://w3g.gkss.de/G/Mitarbeiter/storch/CR-problem/CR.editorial.pdf

his page on the incident:

http://coast.gkss.de/staff/storch/CR-problem/cr.2003.htm

By: David S

David S — Thu, 28 Jan 2010 12:46:06 +0000

Re: Paul Maynard (Jan 28 03:57), Paul That's because they underestimate the effect of population shift to coastal areas and the increase in insurance coverage since the combined homeowners' insurance policy was introduced in 1954. Like quite a few scientists, they see history as a soft subject so ignore the information it can offer. Just like MWP, really.

By: GrantB

GrantB — Thu, 28 Jan 2010 12:23:47 +0000

This came up in a comment on Bob Wards piece in the Guardian from commenter Vettefan.

He suggested that someone more eminent than Bob Ward may have written the article

I don’t know much about RSS, but this couldn’t be true. Could it?

By: Paul Maynard

Paul Maynard — Thu, 28 Jan 2010 08:57:29 +0000

Only last week, we had a presenation at the Ins Inst of London where the Swiss Re chart showing catastrophe losses on an upward trend since the 1950s was shown.

No mention of the trends dissappering once losses are adjusted for growth, population and inflation. Plus the Tsunami/earthquakes are not man made.

Cheers

Paul

By: Jimchip

Jimchip — Thu, 28 Jan 2010 03:28:12 +0000

I don’t know but here’s a thought. Scientists want to have meetings and talk things out. One doesn’t want to have to ‘watch one’s own back’.

Like I said, just a thought.

By: Bernie

Bernie — Thu, 28 Jan 2010 02:22:05 +0000

It is also Eli’s first Amazon review under the his nom de guerre. I never trust one time reviews – the vast majority start with a point of view.
Of course, this may be another Eli Rabett. What an unpleasant thought!

By: Craig Loehle

Craig Loehle — Thu, 28 Jan 2010 01:55:17 +0000

The Munich Re report was I believe prepared for a workshop. When the paper was finally published a year later, it stated very plainly that no statistically significant trend could be detected relating hurricane losses to climate change after accounting for population growth and income growth. Only by citing this draft report could IPCC get the answer they wanted because no peer review papers show such a correlation/trend. See Pielke jr blog for details.