In a recent post commenting on Rich Muller’s lecture of March 19, 2011 (here) – of which the Climategate portion is more or less the same as his Oct 14, 2010 lecture (online here), John Cook observes: It’s clear that “Mike’s Nature trick” is quite separate to Keith Briffa’s “hide the decline”. Muller has taken […]
Look, I’m all in favor of verifying studies and claims. However, when I do this sort of exercise, I try to carefully quote whatever it is that I’m analyzing and to replicate their analysis as best as I can as part of the commentary. I quote extensively and carefully from the original study. In contrast, […]
I’ll post up illustrated speaking notes in a day or two, as well as some comments. May 20 – Annotated version online here. I’ve noticed two incomplete versions online. One version is on Youtube in three parts here. It misses the last few minutes of the talk, but I prefer this version to the version […]
load MBHsmooths1.txt % http://www.climateaudit.info/wp-content/uploads/2009/11/mbhsmooths1.txt % MBHsmooths1 = [ Year AnnualRecon Instrumental MB98SmoothTrick MBH98SmoothNoTrick MBH99SmoothTrick MBH99SmoothNoTrick ] [B98,A98]=butter(10,2/50); % ’50 year lowpass’ in98=MBHsmooths1(401:981,2); % Annual Recon MBH98, %source: % http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v430/n6995/extref/FigureData/nhmean.txt , % col 2 Trick=MBHsmooths1(982:996,3); % pad with instrumental (1981..1995) .. % source: % http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v430/n6995/extref/FigureData/nhmean.txt % col 3 out98t=flipud(filter(B98,A98,flipud([filter(B98,A98,[in98;Trick;zeros(100,1)])]))); %..then smooth % Note that filter.m initializes […]
In my submission to the Parliamentary Committee, I observed that the “trick” wasn’t “clever” – it was the deletion of inconvenient data. The IPCC “trick” was not a “clever” mathematical method – it was merely the deletion of inconvenient data after 1960. Post-1960 values were even deleted in the reconstruction archived version at NOAA. I […]
Daily Mail has detailed coverage on “hide the decline”.
Much recent attention has been paid to the email about the “trick” and the effort to “hide the decline”. Climate scientists have complained that this email has been taken “out of context”. In this case, I’m not sure that it’s in their interests that this email be placed in context because the context leads right […]
Gerry North told the Washington post that the NAS panel did exactly the same thing as Phil Jones’ trick. (Dec. 1, 2009) North is talking through his hat. North: We put the tree ring record on the graph and stuck the instrument record on for the last 50 years in exactly the way [Phil] Jones […]
Michael Mann, Dec 2004 No researchers in this field have ever, to our knowledge, “grafted the thermometer record onto” any reconstruction. It is somewhat disappointing to find this specious claim (which we usually find originating from industry-funded climate disinformation websites) appearing in this forum [realclimate]. Phil Jones, Nov 1999 I’ve just completed Mike’s Nature trick […]
In the UEA statement of Nov 24, 2009, Phil Jones said: CRU has not sought to hide the decline. Indeed, CRU has published a number of articles that both illustrate, and discuss the implications of, this recent tree-ring decline, including the article that is listed in the legend of the WMO Statement figure. It is […]
