Mann told the NAS panel: "I am not a statistician". No one on the panel contested that claim.
A friend sent me Mann’s bio distributed as part of today’s Margolin Lecture at Middlebury College, which says that the focus of his research is "the application of statistical techniques to understanding climate variability and climate change from both empirical and climate model-based perspectives" and the "development of statistical methods for climate signal detection". I guess one of the methods is Mannian principal components. The bio says that his research has been the subject of a feature story in the Wall Street Journal – is that the one where he said that he wouldn’t be "intimidated" into disclosing his algorithm?
Among the "now-solid evidence" to be presented at the lecture are "paleoclimate observations spanning more than a millennium". I thought that the Hockey Team had "moved on". If Mann is promoting the HS to young undergrads at Middlebury, can we conclude that maybe they haven’t "moved on"?
2006 Scott Margolin Environmental Affairs Lecture
“Global Climate Change: Past and Future”
Dr. Michael E. Mann
Associate Professor, Department of Meteorology
Director, Earth System Science Center
The Pennsylvania State University
Tuesday, March 7, 4:30 p.m.
McCardell Bicentennial Hall 216
This lecture will begin with a review of the now-solid evidence for a human influence on the climate of recent decades. Such evidence includes instrumental measurements available for the past two centuries, paleoclimate observations spanning more than a millennium, and comparisons of the predictions from computer models with observed patterns of climate change. The lecture will then address future impacts of human-induced climate change that are significant for the United States, including possible influences on tropical Atlantic hurricane intensity and frequency and on water supplies in the Western U.S. Throughout the lecture, scientific evidence for climate change will be presented at a level appropriate to a general audience.
Dr. Michael E. Mann is a member of the Penn State University faculty, holding joint positions in the Departments of Meteorology and Geosciences, and the Earth and Environmental Systems Institute (ESSI). He is also director of the Penn State Earth System Science Center (ESSC).
Dr. Mann received his undergraduate degrees in Physics and Applied Math from the University of California at Berkeley, an M.S. degree in Physics from Yale University, and a Ph.D. in Geology & Geophysics from Yale University. His research focuses on the application of statistical techniques to understanding climate variability and climate change from both empirical and climate model-based perspectives. Current areas of research include paleoclimate data synthesis and statistical climate reconstruction using climate “proxy” data networks, and model/data comparisons aimed at understanding the long-term behavior of the climate system and its relationship with possible external (including anthropogenic) “forcings” of climate. Other areas of active research include development of statistical methods for climate signal detection, and investigations of the response of geophysical and ecological systems to climate variability and climate change scenarios.
Dr. Mann was a Lead Author on the “Observed Climate Variability and Change” chapter of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Third Scientific Assessment Report. He has been organizing committee chair for the National Academy of Sciences “ÅFrontiers of Science’ and has served as a committee member or advisor for other National Academy of Sciences panels. He served as editor for the “ÅJournal of Climate’ and has been a member of numerous international and U.S. scientific advisory panels and steering groups. Dr. Mann has been the recipient of several fellowships and prizes, including selection as one of the 50 leading visionaries in Science and Technology by Scientific American, the outstanding scientific publication award of the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), and recognition by the Institute for Scientific Information (ISI) for notable citation of his refereed scientific research. He is author of more than 80 peer-reviewed and edited publications. He is also a co-founded and avid contributor to the climate blog “RealClimate.org”.
He is the author of more than 80 peer-reviewed journal publications or book chapters, and has been the recipient of numerous fellowships and prizes, including selection as one of the 50 leading visionaries in Science and Technology by Scientific American, the outstanding scientific publication award of the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration for 2000, and citation by the Institute for Scientific Information (ISI) for notable citation by peers of refereed scientific research. His work in the area of global climate change has been widely described in the popular media, including ABC, CBS, NBC, and CNN news programs, Time Magazine, US News and World Report, NPR, The Economist, BBC, USA Today, and feature stories in the New York Times, Wall Street Journal, Boston Globe, and numerous other U.S. and international news publications.
For more information, including electronic versions of publication and descriptions of current research projects, please refer to his website: http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~mann/Mann/index.html