Luboà…⟠Motl pointed out that IPCC "needs" Ammann and Wahl in a peer reviewed journal. Let’s re-visit some curious timing issues, which Ian Castles brought up before and which need to be re-examined with the re-submission.
The IPCC WG1 timetable (thanks to Ian for this) says the following:
Third Lead Author meeting, December 13 to 15, in Christchurch, New Zealand. This meeting considers comments on the first order draft and writing of the second order draft starts immediately afterwards.Note. Literature to be cited will need to be published or in press by this time. Copies of literature not available through normal library sources should be sent to the TSU so they can be made available to reviewers if requested.
Meeting of the TS/SPM writing team December 16 in Christchurch, New Zealand
Now let’s look at the UCAR website for Ammann and Wahl, which provides the following information:
May 10, 2005 — In review
September 27, 2005 — Revised
December 12, 2005 — Provisionally Accepted
February 28, 2006 — Accepted for Publication
The version that was accepted was dated Feb. 24, 2006. It looks like there was a major re-write between December and February with the addition of all the piffle on RE and r2. I wonder what peer review took place between Feb 24 and Feb 28. In my July 25, I’d given a list of statistical references in which RE statistics had been discussed – none of them were cited. Shouldn’t that have been dealt with? My guess is that all the sections of Ammann and Wahl pertaining to RE and r2 were never externally peer reviewed.
Obviously, Ammann and Wahl was neither "published or in press" on December 13-15. In fact, the present version was not even finalized until Feb. 24, 2006. Are there material differences between the versions? Obviously. The differences are not just picky differences. The revised version completely vindicates our claims about MBH verification statistics (however unwillingly), while the earlier version provided to IPCC concealed this.
So under its own rules, is IPCC allowed to refer to Ammann and Wahl ? Of course not. Will they? We all know the answer to that. When they refer to Ammann and Wahl , will they also refer to its confirmation of our claims about MBH verification r2 statistics. Of course not. That information was not available to them in December. But wait a minute, if Ammann and Wahl was in press in December, wouldn’t that information have been available to them? Silly me.