Hansen (2005) and Levitus error bars

Someone has asked about the error bars in Levitus and whether the backtest of Hansen and Schmidt against those error bars would be as decisive.

Here is the result taken straight from the Levitus analysis:

You can use sophisticated statistical analysis to compare this, but my trusty Magic 8-Ball says: “Nowhere near”

This entry was written by John A, posted on Apr 18, 2006 at 8:28 AM, filed under Modeling. Bookmark the permalink. Follow any comments here with the RSS feed for this post. Both comments and trackbacks are currently closed.

3 Comments

  1. Doug L's avatar Doug L
    Posted Apr 18, 2006 at 5:33 PM | Permalink

    Looks like error bars don’t apply to the Hansen results?

  2. joshua corning's avatar joshua corning
    Posted Apr 18, 2006 at 6:02 PM | Permalink

    I am confused as to what the blue line is showing. Is that the net increase of radiation from the sun? If it is how on earth does that support claims of AGW?

  3. Ferdinand Engelbeen's avatar Ferdinand Engelbeen
    Posted Apr 20, 2006 at 1:58 AM | Permalink

    It is quite simple: GCM’s significantly don’t reflect any natural cycle in ocean heat content with a length between 10 and 100 years. See Fig. S1 in the on-line supplementary material by Barnett ea., where the models outputs are compared to the observations…