Here is a sociological study of how GCM modelers relate to their models. [Lahsen, 2005. Seductive Simulations? Uncertainty Distribution Around Climate Models, Social Studies of Science, 35, 895-922.] I kid you not. Lahsen: “At least at the time of my fieldwork, close users and potential close users at NCAR (mostly synoptically trained meteorologists who would […]
John Christy writes in reply to my email, occasioned by Connolley’s remark that Wentz and Mears had been forced to reverse engineer his code: Steve: We gave RSS the part of the code that was still a source of confusion (a correction for diurnal drift for the LT product). In addition, we provided intermediate adjustment […]
Jim Erlandson writes in with the following reference. If you follow through to the link at Northwesterm, you will see the cases and the judgements. Interesting issues abound. Take a look at the Amicus Brief by various scientists, including the omnipresent J.M. Wallace of our NAS Panel. From today’s Wall Street Journal Law Blog: Greenhouse […]
The new Santer et al. paper, Forced and unforced ocean temperature changes in Atlantic and Pacific tropical cyclogenesis regions, purports to show that sea surface temperature (SST) changes in the Pacific Cyclogenesis Region (PCR) and the Atlantic Cyclogenesis Region are caused by anthopogenic global warming (AGW). They claim to do this by showing that models […]
Weaver says the next generation of his climate model will address the influence of climate on human evolution. I guess we can expect headlines saying that scientists University of Victoria have shown that global warming, if left unchecked, will lead to the development of a third eye by the year 2075.
A late report on my visit to Holland. I don’t think that I’ve talked as much in a month as I did in 36 hours in Holland. I had two main presentations -one at KNMI in the morning; one at the Free University in the afternoon. I also had two long newspaper interviews and a […]
Here is the (big) change in correlation as the Emanuel data are progressively smoothed, 0x, 1x, 2x. (Here I exclude the endpoints, which is what one ought to do.) cor(SST,PDI) [1] 0.5050575 cor(SST.1,PDI.1) [1] 0.6278249 cor(SST.2,PDI.2) [1] 0.7484223 Square those to obtain r^2. Here are two graphs of Emanuel’s SST and PDI, showing the effect […]
This continues the previous post which is overweight in comments.
On Sep 11-12, 2006, KTH (Royal Institute of Technology) in Stockholm, Sweden hosted an international seminar on climate variability (seminar website here). The seminar had 16 speakers from 14 countries and was attended by 120 people. It was organized by Peter Stilbs and Fred Goldberg, who extended great hospitality to the presenters. Anders FlodstràÆà, President […]
Climate Audit 