On July 2, I started this popular series of threads as follows:
For anyone who’s betting that 2008 meltback will exceed 2007 meltback, I think that you’ll be able to pretty much know where you stand by the end of this week and your chances are not looking good right now based on this week’s exit polls. Another Climate Audit first.
The 2007-2008 gap was then just over 500,000 km. I don’t pretend to have any expertise in this topic, but I think that my early July predictions on this stood up better than those of the official organizations.
Thanks to TAC for keeping an eye on things.
As observed by commenters, 2008 levels were still exceptionally low and certainly cannot be interpreted as disproving anything about long-term trends. Indeed, quite the opposite. The most that can be said in the opposite direction is only that the baby-ice models all predicted a huge decrease in 2008 relative to 2007 and considerably more baby ice survived than initially projected.