According to the University of Victoria, Andrew Weaver says:
the next generation of his climate model will address the influence of climate on human evolution—much like it’s now being used to examine the influence of humans on climate evolution”.
In breaking news, Climate Audit has obtained exclusive information on output from the first runs of Weaver’s “next generation” climate model. These are the first known climate model predictions of the future of human evolution. The results are worrying: take a look.
Climate Audit 
41 Comments
“the next generation of his climate model will address the influence of climate on human evolution”
Given our rate of evolution, it seems this will take a while to evaluate. Going to needs lots of money.
Also, shouldn’t the cartoon be titled “The Descent of Mann”?
Steve: These are the results from Weaver’s climate model, not Mann’s. I don’t understand your suggestion 🙂
It’s not even April 1st yet 🙂
It appears to make no effort to hide the decline, at least.
It did mankind good and we left the other species behind. That makes historic climate divisive and unethical. Hopefully, with a full anthropogenic influence on climate it will undo such past travesties and we can all return to the our natural state or the other species will catch up (;>)
Does this mean that in reality man won’t evolve at all for a number of decades (aka hiatus in evolution?)
The projection must be correct, because it shows a clear hockey stick trend in waistline.
Wonderful! Gave me a laugh. 🙂
The result doesn’t look robust?
robust is the inword – hear it everywhere now 😉 wonder when that started ?
Perhaps all but the last unfortunate evolutionary step were driven by global climate and the last by political climate. Politics loves obeisance and naked ambition regardless of facts.
I must say as well that the last figure concerns me with respect to the rather generous proportions in the middle and the potential that such a shape may in fact hide an enormous amount of methane which, should it escape will then most certainly complete the positive feedback cycle: climate – evolution- climate…….
Oh – The horror of what Mann wroughts.
It’s just gone pear-shaped for him.
…naked ambition…
HEY!
Quickly, please add a sarcasm tag before Brandon comments that this is not a full representation of Weaver’s model, he (Brandon) doesn’t understand why you think the information is exclusive, and that it is weird, in a twisted way, that you refer to “runs” of the model when the output is clearly of a single run. (Not to mention that the model output results include a mysterious signature that appears to say “Josh”.)
If there’s a non sequitur lurking, big or small, trivial or substantial, you can always rely on Brandon to flush it out. I respect and appreciate him for that.
Thanks for the kind words dalechant. It’s remarkable a month ago practically nobody was saying things like clays is saying, but now, it’s become common. Either I underwent a major shift in behavior in the last month, or…
The round mound of unsound…
jazz hands 🙂
Yeah Mann
I suppose modesty precludes the depiction of a hockey stick?
Or perhaps the depiction would harm the very fragile self esteem if not long enough to reach the puck.
Looks to me that Gavin is pregnant with a little Mann.
Do I detect a bit of a gooose step there? Or maybe he’s just trying to get away from the big guy behind him.
Didn’t this breaking news come from an article the University of Victoria published online in February, 2007?
See http://ring.uvic.ca/07feb08/weaver.html
Aaargh… Now I have Mike Mann’s naked body permanently etched onto my retina.
The survival of the fitless.
Weaver weaves a tale of pre-science because it isn’t science.
John
Steve’s daily spoonful of aluminum oxide for dear Andy’s shorts.
Apparently the last figure has an statistical error; note the goose-step !
What a piece of work is Mann?
If this model is a correct projection, then it thoroughly debunks intelligent design.
Looks like the universe is rapidly running out of sustainable problems for the models to solve.
From Mann to the monkey is not a long stride,
Next is full Monty so now I’ll go hide…
Steve:
I assume you’re looking forward to the inevitable lawsuit from Andrew Weaver for daring to mock an academic in the context of his chosen field. I further assume you’ll be starting a legal defense fund. I’m good for $50.
Seriously though, I would love to watch you systematically take down that… ahem … gentleman, in a legal battle. Regardless of the veracity of Weaver’s (IMO idiotic) theories or the global warming hypothesis generally, free speech is, perhaps, the most important of all rights. Weaver’s victory in court was not only an error of law on the part of the judge, it was an egregious assault on a basic human right.
Good on you.
Steve: I take care to ensure that my facts are correct and to avoid over-editorializing. I also have a long-standing policy of correcting errors when drawn to my attention. If there’s anything inaccurate in these posts, it would be my policy to correct the error and apologize rather than get into litigation. In most of the cases in litigation, the parties have said things that I wouldn’t have said, though on the two main NP issues – e.g. Weaver’s belief that the fossil fuel industry was responsible for the break-ins – I too thought that that was Weaver’s belief and wrote a post satirizing Weaver as well. I find it implausible that this sort of commentary could be actionable and therefore strongly believe that J Burke’s decision needs to be appealed.
If you see any comments in these articles that contain factual errors, especially errors that could be libelous, I would appreciate it if you brought it to my attention so that I can correct it.
In respect to these cartoons, I believe that the precedent of Vander Zalm v Times Publishing (1980) is bulletproof and that McConchie would discourage Weaver from attempting to suppress such commentary.
Steve, We see you are careful but there are no limits to initiating a law suit. Punishment for a frivolous law suit (Dragonetti Act here in PA, USA) is extremely rare unless you try to sue a lawyer for malpractice.
I think you would have quite a loyal group of supporters. But we would expect you to autograph t-shirts or something for us in return. 🙂 I have been buying Steyn merchandise. I am paying to see the court performance. It could turn out to be a QBVII or a Scopes Trial, especially if Mann takes the hot seat.
Endomorphs and ectomorphs make excellent phenotypical sense in terms of heat transfer in cold and hot climates I.
Perhaps should start by modeling a spherical economist and take things heuristically from there
I hope the National Post starts a fund-raising campaogn to fund its appeal, which I understand is going ahead. All of us need to back our opinions with dollars, to avoid the libel chilling effect. Mark Steyn has shown we can do it.
John Francis:
So I need to donate money to Andrew Weaver to help him try to prevent the National Post from libeling him? I think I’ll pass. As much as I detest the National Post’s failure to even attempt to abide by basic journalistic standards, to the point where it flagrantly makes things up to belittle people it dislikes, I don’t care for Andrew Weaver either. I think the National Post got exactly what it deserved for repeatedly making things up, but I don’t see that I need to donate money because of that belief.
On a more serious note, I have suggested some years ago that the reverse direction of climate on human behaviour needs to be much more seriously considered. Temperature is known to affect the behaviour of many animals and there is no reason that humans should be different.
In his comprehensive studies of climate and history, Raymond Wheeler found that depending on prevailing conditions of wet/dry and warm/cool, adjectives used for rulers such as “great” and “despot” could be largely explained.
If I am right about this then a cool period from the Sun could lead to human activity slowing down.
Steve
Somewhat on topic. The foundations of statistical theory questioned…
http://www.datasciencecentral.com/profiles/blogs/p-values-the-gold-standard-of-statistical-validity-are-not-as
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