Verification of the Improved High PC Reconstruction
Last year, I reported the invalidity using up-to-date data of Santer’s claim that none of the satellite data sets showed a “statistically significant” difference in trend from the model ensemble, after allowing for the effect of AR1 autocorrelation on confidence intervals. Including up-to-date data, the claim was untrue for UAH data sets and was on […]
I’ve just collated ERSST v3b and ERSST v2 versions for the tropics and compared ERSST v3 and ERSST v2 versions. CA readers were undoubtedly ready for adjustments, but, using the technical terminology of the leading climate journals, the adjustments were “worse than we thought”. ERSST v3 lowered SSTs before 1880 by up to 0.3 deg […]
In case you’ve missed it, WUWT has an excellent post on failure of a sea ice satellite sensor – now taken offline.
Ryan O has produced a very interesting series of Antarctic tiles by calculating Steigian trends under various settings of retained AVHRR principal components and retained Truncated Total Least Squares eigenvectors (Schneider’s “regpar”). The figure below re-arranges various trend tiles provided by Ryan in a previous comment, arranging them more or less in increasing retained AVHRR […]
Ryan O has observed a remarkable property of the Mannian algorithm used in Steig et al’s Antarctic temperature reconstruction described in a lengthy post at Jeff Id’s here and cross-posted at Anthony’s. Source code here (the source code style BTW evidencing engineering tidiness from which we should all take heed). I’m reporting here on one […]
Readers have sometimes proposed that I try to enlist the support of a British MP for efforts to get information from the various stonewalling UK climate institutions, such as Fortress CRU. In fact, it seems that British MPs have had their own personal reasons for not supporting FOI. For the past 5 years, they have […]
A shout out for Bob Tisdale’s blog here. Bob cross-posts at Anthony’s from time to time. At his own blog, he’s done a number of excellent analyses of SST data sets. On many occasions, I’ve observed that critical analysis of the temperature record has spent a disproportionate amount of attention on land data sets relative […]
Rather than spending time archiving information from his various publications, Santer has placed his scientific priorities on introducing a remarkable cartoon (Youtube here), which ends (see 7 minutes on) with a ditty urging its audience to “do something about the power of poop”. The video ends with a close-up of a large odiferous dropping, with […]
As noted in an earlier post, I’ve now managed to synchronize 48 of 49 Santer tropo series with KNMI surface temperature series and have looked at versions of some key figures in CCSP 1-1 and previously inaccessible figures in Santer. First here is an important figure from CCP 1-1 showing a histogram of relative trends […]
Climate Audit 
FOI and the "Unprecedented " Resignation of British Speaker
Readers have sometimes proposed that I try to enlist the support of a British MP for efforts to get information from the various stonewalling UK climate institutions, such as Fortress CRU. In fact, it seems that British MPs have had their own personal reasons for not supporting FOI. For the past 5 years, they have […]