Tag Archives: climateball

Sliming by Stokes

Oct 1, 2014 – 12:08 AM

Stokes’ most recent post, entitled “What Steve McIntyre Won’t Show You Now”, contains a series of lies and fantasies, falsely claiming that I’ve been withholding MM05-EE analyses from readers in my recent fisking of ClimateBaller doctrines, falsely claiming that I’ve “said very little about this recon [MM05-EE] since it was published” and speculating that I’ve […]

By Stephen McIntyre | Posted in Uncategorized | Also tagged , , , | Comments (177)

ClimateBallers and the MM05 Simulations

Sep 29, 2014 – 11:47 PM

ClimateBallers are extremely suspicious of the MM05 simulation methodology, to say the least.  A recurrent contention is that we should have removed the climate “signal” from the NOAMER tree ring network before calculating parameters for our red noise simulations, though it is not clear how you would do this when you not only don’t know the […]

By Stephen McIntyre | Posted in Uncategorized | Also tagged , | Comments (113)

t-Statistics and the “Hockey Stick Index”

Sep 28, 2014 – 1:30 PM

In MM05,  we quantified the “hockeystick-ness” of a series as the difference between the 1902-1980 mean (the “short centering” period of Mannian principal components) and the overall mean (1400-1980), divided by the standard deviation – a measure that we termed its “Hockey Stick Index (HSI)”.  The histograms of its distribution for 10,000 simulated networks (shown in […]

By Stephen McIntyre | Posted in Uncategorized | Also tagged , , , | Comments (196)

What Nick Stokes Wouldn’t Show You

Sep 27, 2014 – 4:38 PM

In MM05, we quantified the hockeystick-ness of simulated PC1s as the difference between the 1902-1980 mean (the “short centering” period of Mannian principal components) and the overall mean (1400-1980), divided by the standard deviation – a measure that we termed its “Hockey Stick Index (HSI)”.  In MM05 Figure 2, we showed histograms of the HSI […]

By Stephen McIntyre | Posted in Uncategorized | Also tagged , , | Comments (58)

Kevin O’Neill’s “Fraud” Allegations

Sep 24, 2014 – 8:14 AM

Over the past year or so, Mann’s “ClimateBall” defenders have taken an increasing interest in trying to vindicate Mannian principal components, the flaws of which Mann himself has never admitted.  Indeed, in Mann’s self-serving Hockey Stick Wars, Mann once again claimed that the defective method was simply an “alternative centering convention”. So far, I’ve taken little […]

By Stephen McIntyre | Posted in Uncategorized | Also tagged , , , | Comments (94)