Monthly Archives: August 2005

Owens Lake Water Diversion for L.A. and Bristlecones

John Hekman has posted up a couple of comments on the possible effect of Owens Lake desiccation (due to diversion of Los Angeles water supply) on bristlecones. His notes and link are extremely interesting.

Satellite Measurements #2: Arima

Here’s an interesting little graphic and analysis of the new satellite data. It’s hard not to scratch your head sometimes at this entire subject matter, when you see the effect of pretty simple alternatives. The satellite data is modelled very nicely as ARMA c(1,0,1), which would imply entirely different conclusions about this data set and […]

IntCal04 – RadioCarbon

One point that intrigued me about the Muscheler vs Solanki dispute was to see what the underlying data looked like. Here’s a graph and some comments. I don’t purport to know a lot about this; I just wanted to get a feel for the data.

Satellite Measurements

Spencer and Christy have amended their satellite algorithm. Here are some links and comments, courtesy of ukweatherworld. I anticipate that there will some huffing and puffing about this, but Hans Erren’s graph should keep matters in perspective.

Lambert, Lott and Mann

Readers of this blog may have noticed some chaffing back and forth between me and Tim Lambert. Anyone that’s followed the chaffing may have noticed that Lambert has spent a lot of time criticizing studies by John Lott on guns on statistical grounds. On a personal basis, I dislike/hate guns and cannot imagine why anyone […]

Roll Over, Preisendorfer

I think that Preisendorfer would roll over in his grave if he saw how Ammann, Schmidt and Mann were bastardizing his Rule N.

Muscheler versus Solanki

realclimate has posted up a discussion of a recent Brief Communications Arising in Nature by Muscheler et al., commenting on Solanki et al. [2004]. They haven’t posted up the Solanki et al. reply, which argues that Muschelerr et al. have screwed up their normalization. However here it is . There are two points of interest […]

Source Code: Preisendorfer’s Rule N

Here’s a comment on handling of Preisendorfer’s Rule N in the code dump; I’ll post some further comments on Preisendorfer on Preisendorfer’s Rule N in a few days. There is NO source code showing the application of Preisendorfer’s Rule N to tree ring networks – a battleground issue, if you will. There is some source […]

Polar Urals: Shiyatov’s Finnish Academy Article

I’ve written on a number of occasions on Briffa’s Polar Urals reconstruction, which is used in nearly every multiproxy reconstruction, no doubt because of its uniquely cold MWP. It’s one of the key series in Crowley and Lowery [2000] and Jones et al [1998]; it’s not as important in MBH98-99 (which is more or less […]

"Independence" Of Proxy Selections

I’ve commented before on the lack of independence between authors in the supposedly "independent" multiproxy studies: Mann et al [1998, 1999], Jones et al [1998], Mann and Jones [2003], Crowley and Lowery [2000], Briffa et al [2000]. I’ve mentioned in passing that the proxies themselves are not independent, but not provided lists to show the […]