Esper uses 14 sites in his reconstructions. My objective is to see which ones are "active ingredients" in yielding a high 20th century relative to MWP. Today, I’ll look at the "Quebec" site on the east side of Hudson Bay, which does not solve the problem. In fact, the acknowledged authors report of a site […]
Huybers’ second and more interesting (to me) issue pertains to the benchmarking of the RE statistic.I’m going to start in the middle of this issue. If I start with the history e.g. defining the RE statistic and showing its history (and I just tried), it’s hard to get to the punch line. So what I’m […]
An article by Peter Huybers has been accepted at GRL together with our Reply. I’m going to give a preview of this. This will take a few posts.
I’ve had an abstract accepted for the U.S. Climate Change Science Program (CCSP) Workshop, "Climate Science in Support of Decisionmaking," to be held November 14-16, 2005. My abstract is entitled: "More on Hockey Sticks: the Case of Jones et al [1998]".
Taimyr is one of the sites in Esper et al [2002]. It does not make a material contribution to any hockey stick-ness in Esper. The authors have some very interesting things to say about AGW which I’ll post up in a day or two. For now, I want to post up the following graph, which […]
I more or less jumped into the middle of some technical issues pertaining to Esper et al [2002], without properly describing the study. Esper et al. [2002] is one of the multiproxy studies that is included in all the spaghetti diagrams. It supposedly shows more "variability" than Mann, which is the issue that the Hockey […]
You’ve all seen my frustration with Jacoby and his doctrine of a "few good men". I haven’t posted on this, but, one thing that puzzled me was some missing inventory numbers at Polar Urals, just before the critical trees 45, 46 and 47 (upon which the "coldest year of the millennium" depends. Here’s a comment […]
Esper et al [2002] divides trees into "linear" and "nonlinear" trees depending on their growth – a classificaiton that is idiosyncratic to this publication as far as I can tell. Esper at al. [2002] provides a citation to a publication "in press" that supposedly explains this, but I can’t locate any explanation in the publication. […]
Jaemtland is one of the sites used in Esper et al [2002]. Here is some benchmark information on this site to help see its role, if any, in contributing to any hockey-stick-ness in Esper.
Mann’s answer to the Barton Committee included a bizarre tirade about title to his computer code, which made me ruminate about the tort of conversion. It’s hard to imagine that Mann has done something that is probably unprecedented in the entire history of responses to a congressional committee – the answer to the congressional committee […]
Climate Audit 