Category Archives: Proxies

Huldén, Lena, 2001. Terra 113, 171-8. Oak barrels and the medieval warm period in Satakunta [Finland] (Finnish) .

Moberg #5: Arabian Sea glob. bulloides

One of the two strongest contributors to higher temperatures in Moberg’s 20th century proxies is higher incidence of subpolar glob. bulloides

Bring the Proxies Up to Date!!

I will make here a very simple suggestion: if IPCC or others want to use “multiproxy” reconstructions of world temperature for policy purposes, stop using data ending in 1980 and bring the proxies up-to-date. I would appreciate comments on this note as I think that I will pursue the matter with policymakers.

Post-1980 Proxies #4: Wilmking et al. [2004]

Wilmking et al. carried out a comprehensive sampling of 1558 white spruce trees at 13 treeline sites in the Brooks Range and Alaska Range. The date of the sampling is not stated but seems to be between 2000 and 2003 and includes the warm 1990s. These findings cover the same species as were primarily used […]

Post-1980 Proxies #3: Chesapeake Bay Mg/Ca

The Chesapeake Bay Mg/Ca proxy goes to late 1995 and is used in both Moberg et al [2005] and Mann and Jones [2003] for the proxy reconstructions up to 1980. Figure 1 below shows that its post-1980 behavior does not show an exceptional response to supposedly unprecedented temperature. Figure 1. Chesapeake Bay Spring SST. Re-plotted […]

Post-1980 Proxies #2: Alaskan Tree Rings

D’Arrigo et al. [GRL 2004] reports on tree rings taken from the Seward Peninsula in northwestern Alaska from white spruce from 14 sites near elevational treeline in summer 2002. We show here their figures, demonstrating that the "proxy" show no evidence of the warm 1990s and hot 1998, raising questions about the ability of this […]

Post-1980 Proxies #1: Twisted Tree Heartrot Hill

I get a lot of questions about post-1980 proxies and I find it a very interesting question. One would expect that 1998 – the "warmest" year of the millennium – and the 1990s – the "warmest decade" of the millennium would leave a loud signal in a valid proxy. I’m going to start discussing some […]

Medieval Treelines #1

Larry Huldén of the Finnish Museum of Natural Science sent me a nice note, mentioning: I have met Phil Jones in Helsinki during a Climate meeting. My wife had a paper on mediaeval warm period in Finland in which she showed that oak (Quercus robur) forests occurred some 150 km north of the present time […]

Quelccaya Accumulation

Quelccaya accumulation are 2 of only 14 proxies in MBH99. I think that it was the very first Mann proxy series that I posted about (circa May 2003), as the underlying data looked very strange when plotted. Hans Erren has posted up an interesting analysis which both explains the strange appearance of the series as […]

The Updated Gaspé Series

We have focused considerable attention on the role of the Gaspé series in MBH98. While we alluded previously in MM05 (E&E) to information in our possession that the updated (1991) version of the series differed from the 1982 version and to our frustration that the updated version remains unarchived (see Jacoby #1) , we are […]