Aberdeen WA

Anthony Watts writes:

Something smells about this temperature data

The picture above comes to me courtesy of Gary Kobes, of the US Coast Guard. It is the temperature sensor at the climate station of record in Aberdeen, WA It is located at the sewage treatment plant. Note the sign on the support post. Note also the temperature shelter plates are clogged with some dark matter, what I’m not sure. Continue reading

Unprecedented Warmth in Sweden

Sweden has been reporting warmth in June that is unprecedented in a milllll-yun years 👿

Pictures from Sweden’s newspapers show the extent to which continental glaciation has receded.

sweden18.jpgsweden19.jpg

Newspaper articles here:
http://www.svd.se/dynamiskt/inrikes/did_15805049.asp
http://www.dn.se/DNet/jsp/polopoly.jsp?d=147&a=661040
http://aftonbladet.se/vss/vader/story/0,2789,1094730,00.html

Thanks to reader Magnus who writes:

Best greetings from Swe-d-d-d-deden; Ouch! It’s so c-c-c-cold!

Parker 2006: An Urban Myth?

If you are not a climate scientist (or a realclimate reader), you would almost certainly believe, from your own experience, that cities are warmer than the surrounding countryside – the “urban heat island”. From that, it’s easy to conclude that as cities become bigger and as towns become cities and villages become towns, that there is a widespread impact on urban records from changes in landscape, which have to be considered before you can back out what portion is due to increased GHG.

One of the main IPCC creeds is that the urban heat island effect has a negligible impact on large-scale averages such as CRU or GISS. The obvious way of proving this would seem to be taking measurements on an urban transect and showing that there is no urban heat island. Of course, Jones and his associates can’t do that because such transects always show a substantial urban heat island. So they have to resort to indirect methods to provide evidence of “things unseen”, such as Jones et al 1990, which we’ve discussed in the past.

The newest entry in the theological literature is Parker (2004, 2006), who, once again, does not show the absence of an urban heat island by direct measurements, but purports to show the absence of an effect on large-scale averages by showing that the temperature trends on calm days is comparable to that on windy days. My first reaction to this, and I’m sure that others had the same reaction was: well, so what? Why would anyone interpret that as evidence one way or the other on UHI?

So let’s backtrack through Parker’s logic, such as it is, and see why he believes that calm-windy is relevant to the existence of a UHI effect. Continue reading

New statistics for Climate Audit

It’s interesting that different statistics gathering services record different results for the same measured quantity – in this case the answer to the question “how many people browse to Climate Audit?”.
Continue reading

Some Prompt Data Responses

A couple of prompt and favorable responses to inquiries for data from Parker 2006 and Nyberg et al 2007 (a recent article on hurricanes)

Parker 2006
I wrote Parker today inquiring about the sites used in Parker 2006 and for data for unarchived sites. He replied promptly as follows:

Here are the station lists. The “Word” document gives station details and the text documents specify sources.

Regarding the data from national sources, you can download Central England temperature from http://hadobs.metoffice.com/.

I attach also the data for Lerwick and Eskdalemuir, UK. In these files, Jan, Feb…Dec for a given year and day of the month runs along a row. Valuse are in tenths deg C with -999 = missing (generally denoting nonexistent days).

For the other national-source data you will need to apply to the people listed in the Acknowledgements of my 2006 J Climate paper. The Danish Met Service may charge a fee for the Greenland and Thorshavn data.

Regards

David Parker

I’ve uploaded the files to http://data.climateaudit.org/data/station/parker and interested parties can examine the lists. Given the policies of WMO and IPCC, it’s ridiculous that unarchived data should be used in these studies, although one cannot hold Parker to fault for this, other than for failing to criticize this practice as an author.

Nyberg et al 2007
Nyberg et al 2007 is an interesting article in Nature using proxies to study long-term lack of trend in hurricanes. I’ll talk about this article at some point. It uses four coral luminescence series which have not been archived and David Black’s percentage G bulloides series from Cariaco (in the last 2 years, Nature has published articles in which percent G bulloides, a proxy that I’ve discussed on a number of occasions in the past, has been used as a proxy for NH temperature, Asian precipitation and Atlantic hurricanes – a versatile proxy indeed.) I wrote to the second author, Bjorn Malmgren (not readily locating Nyberg’s email online) requesting that the coral luminescence data be archived at WDCP and received the following cordial reply (which he authorized me to print):

Dear Steve,

Many thanks for your letter. I do not have access to the luminiscence records myself, they are stored with the senior author of the Nature article, Johan Nyberg, a former Ph. D. student of mine. I will contact him immediately to ask him to send you the data directly or to send them to me after which I can forward them to you.

By the way, I am an avid reader of Climate Audit, so from me you receive a proper response. In fact, I download the articles to my cell phone and read them with great interest every day. Many thanks for so relentlessly contributing these articles to Climate Audit.

Kind regards, Bjorn

Within the next day, he confirmed that the data would be archived at WDCP and also sent me a text file with the data.

So not everyone is as obstinate as Jones, Mann, Bradley etc. BTW if I recall correctly, William Connolley or some such have taken the view that I like to complain about unavailability of data. I don’t. It’s a waste of my time and the obstruction is a waste of the author’s time. Rather than get annoyed about it, my practice, as you know, has been to publicize the obstruction at the blog. Sciencemag responded to this pressure when private emails got nowhere.

But I’d much rather write notes like this where a positive result is obtained. In the Nyberg case, the authors obviously had no objections to archiving data, they just hadn’t done it. It’s too bad that the lax refereeing at Nature doesn’t attend to these things, but that’s another story.

Latex Matters

Anthony Watts reports on whitewash versus latex. Continue reading

The Minnesota Dam Nation

I pointed out the hot spot in northern Minnesota in the contoured USHCN trends. There was a really interesting discussion of Minnesota sites by their state climatologist, JAmes Zandlo, in 2000, a couple of years ahead of Roger Pielke Sr’s investigations in Colorado. He showed the following contour for Minnesota (which prompted me to do a more general contour), the time-of-observation adjusted version is below, observing:

From Leech Lake Dam to Walker to Park Rapids (a total distance of less than 50 miles) the apparent changes per century are [TOBS – 3.19, 1.34, and -0.53; filnet adjusted – 2.92 to 1.57 to 0.36] respectively; … While it is generally found that global warming will be more pronounced in northern areas, it is difficult to understand how such a strong local variation in warming could be due to global climate change’.

minnes30.jpg
Contour map of Minnesota USHCN TOBS trends. Leech Lake is the western station in the hot spot and the others are in a line to the SW. Other stations in the hot spot are Leech Lake and Pine River; Winnebigoshish is just to north (1.20) Continue reading

B-44 Forms

Russell S. Vose, David R. Easterling, Thomas R. Karl, and Michael Helfert, Comments on “Microclimate Exposures of Surface-Based Weather Stations”, BAMS, 2005 stated:

“Cooperative Station Reports (i.e., B-44 forms) are available online from the National Climatic Data Center.”

I spent quite a bit of time searching for B-rr forms. I tried Dale Kaiser of CDIAC, Russell Vose, neither of whom knew. They referred me to Cynthia Karl, who signed me on to the MMS system, which had information on stations but not the B-44 forms themselves. Eventually, I received the following response from Vernon Woldu, one of Karl’s employees. that the B-44 forms are not online after all: Continue reading

The T3 Tax

I try to stay away from policy discussions here (although others sneak it in), but this suggestion by Ross McKitrick is so ingenious that I’ll relax my policy for a while. Ross proposes a carbon tax linked to tropical troposphere temperatures – the fingerprint of the CO2 contribution to warming. If models are wrong and solar or something else is causing climate change, then it would have negligible impact. If models are right, then the tax would go up a lot. It’s an elegant idea. Calling everyone’s bluff.

Read here.
Of course, it wouldn’t generate any commissions for lobbyists and brokers or expense accounts in night clubs in Moscow and Montreal; so it’s chances of passage are negligible. But isn’t it a better idea than anything on the field so far?

Links
http://econlog.econlib.org/archives/2007/06/a_pigouhanson_s.html
http://pommygranate.blogspot.com/2007/06/brilliant-carbon-tax-idea.html
http://extropolitca.blogspot.com/
http://alastontotuus.blogspot.com/
http://www.pasi.fi/
http://blog.mises.org/archives/006735.asp
http://pc.blogspot.com/2007/06/carbon-taxes-what-if.html

Hansen Red and Blue States

I did plots for both GISS station data and GISS gridcell data on the same basis as USHCN. Continue reading