Gleick and the Watergate Burglars

We are approaching the 40th anniversary of the original Watergate burglaries. Although everyone has heard of the scandal, most people have either forgotten or are too young to remember that the purpose of the Watergate burglaries was to copy documents listing donors to the Democratic Party and their financial contributions, either hoping or expecting to find evidence of contributions from “bad” sources (the Cuban government).

Like the Watergate burglars, the objective of Gleick’s fraud against Heartland was to obtain a list of donors, expecting to find evidence of “bad” contributions to their climate program (fossil fuel corporations and the Koch brothers.) The identity of objectives is really quite remarkable. The technology of the Watergate burglars (break-in and photography) was different than Gleick’s (fraud and email). And the consequences of being caught have thus far been very different.

In today’s post, I’ll reconsider the backstory of the Watergate burglaries to place present-day analogies to the Watergate era in better context. Continue reading

Above the Law

Despite its acclaim among the climate community, the recent Virginia decision (linked from article here) that public agencies are not subject to the Virginia Fraud Against Taxpayers Act (FATA) is hardly one that resolves any real issue. The decision was not based on a rational consideration of whether Cuccinnelli had sufficient grounds to investigate Mann under FATA (a point on which I had spoken out in Mann’s favor), but on the totally bizarre grounds that the Attorney General is only entitled to investigate individuals and private corporations under FATA and that state agencies (in which category the decision places the University of Virginia) are not subject to FATA. This is a technical and counter-intuitive decision that surely invites either amendment to the legislation or further direct action by Cuccinnelli. I don’t see how anyone can view this as a satisfactory resolution to an unseemly affair.
Continue reading

Mann on Irreproducible Results in Thompson (PNAS 2006)

Michael Mann’s new book, The Hockey Stick and the Climate Wars, discusses my comment [SMc note – this post is by Hu McCulloch] , “Irreproducible Results in Thompson et al., ‘Abrupt Tropical Climate Change: Past and Present’ (PNAS 2006),” that was published in 2009 in Energy & Environment. My comment pertained to an article by Lonnie Thompson and eight coauthors that had appeared in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences back in 2006. As soon as my comment was accepted for publication, I posted a less technical summary on Climate Audit, entitled “Irreproducible Results in PNAS” (4/24/09).

Dr. Mann’s discussion of my comment is the first published feedback to it by any of Thompson’s associates, and hence I am very grateful for the attention he has drawn to it. However, I beg to disagree with Mann’s appraisal of it.

Continue reading

Eats, Shoots, and Leaves

Lynn Truss‘ book on punctuation “Eats, Shoots and Leaves” received astonishing coverge.

The title of the book is based on the following joke:

A panda walks into a café. He orders a sandwich, eats it, then draws a gun and proceeds to fire it at the other patrons. ‘Why?’ asks the confused, surviving waiter amidst the carnage, as the panda makes towards the exit. The panda produces a badly punctuated wildlife manual and tosses it over his shoulder. ‘Well, I’m a panda,’ he says, at the door. ‘Read the manual.’ The waiter turns to the relevant entry in the manual and, sure enough, finds an explanation.

‘Panda. Large black-and-white bear-like mammal, native to China. Eats, shoots and leaves.’

Had the manual been written by Peter Gleick, the manual would have read “eats, shoots, and leaves”.

Mosher noticed the distinctive comma punctuation of the forged memo once he started looking at the memo for “high-entropy” characteristics and reported this finding in his first comment at Lucia’s, which fingered Gleick as the author of the forged memo. In the critical paragraph of the forged Confidential Memo, there are no fewer than three distinct examples of Gleickian commas:

through his Forbes blog and related high profile outlets, our conferences, and through coordination with external networks

other groups capable of rapidly mobilizing responses to new scientific findings, news stories, or unfavorable blog posts

the more extreme AGW communicators such as Romm, Trenberth, and Hansen

Parallels were then sought in Gleick’s unedited comments and didn’t take long to find. His review of Donna Laframboise had been derided at Judy Curry’s because it showed no evidence that Gleick had actually read the book. But no one commented on Gleick’s comma punctuation in that review, which was observed to match the forged memo. Here are a few examples:

Lies, misrepresentations, and a bible for climate change deniers

lies, misrepresentations, and falsehoods

those who hate science, fear science, or are afraid that if climate change is real

Maybe Gleick will get mentioned in the next edition of “Eats, Shoots and Leaves”.

Appeal to Information Tribunal

I’ve appealed to the Information Tribunal, continuing the longstanding effort by David Holland and I to obtain the attachments to Wahl’s surreptitious email to Briffa, containing Wahl’s changes to the IPCC assessment of the Hockey Stick from the assessment sent out to external reviewers. (Wahl’s changes appear to have been incorporated unchanged in the final report.)

The correspondence is online here. The adverse ICO decision of 2012-02-02 is here; the attachment to my application containing the Grounds of Appeal is online here.

18 U.S.C. 1343

Andrew Lacis of GISS has an extraordinary comment at Judy Curry’s that prompted today’s post. Lacis classified Gleick’s conduct as merely a “political prank”. Unfortunately for Gleick, the issue is not what Lacis thinks, but whether his admitted acts (leaving the fake memo aside for now) meet all the elements of 18 USC 1343 (wire fraud), a serious federal offence. Given Gleick’s admissions, the only legal point that even requires analysis is whether his actions deprived Heartland of “property” under binding interpretations of 18 USC 1343. There is a case decided by the U.S. Supreme Court that is exactly on point to this question: it held that confidentiality and exclusive use of business information were a form of property rights, the deprivation of which using false pretences was an offence under 18 USC 1343. This decision is binding on lower courts. All the elements of 18 USC 1343 appear to met under admitted facts.
Continue reading

Tricks at the Pacific Institute

As reader Paul Matthews observed, the Pacific Institute has a new (Feb 27) press release on its website today, but has deleted its Feb 21 and Feb 22 statements. I presume that this was a trick (TM – climate science) to hide Gleick’s decline.

A residue of the Feb 22, 2012 press statement can be seen in the cache shown below.

Michael Kelly: Models “Over-Egged to Produce Alarm”

Michael Kelly’s sensible questions at the Oxburgh Inquiry were suppressed by Lord Oxburgh of FalckRenewables and Cefn Croes, but were made available through unopposed FOI.

Kelly’s letter to the Times today (h/t Bishop Hill) sets out a position not much different than Lindzen’s:

The interpretation of the observational science has been consistently over-egged to produce alarm. All real-world data over the past 20 years has shown the climate models to be exaggerating the likely impacts — if the models cannot account for the near term, why should I trust them in the long term?

I am most worried by the billions of pounds being misinvested and lost as a consequence. Look out to sea at the end of 2015 and see how many windmills are not turning and you will get my point: there are already 14,000 abandoned windmills onshore in the US. Premature technology deployment is thoroughly bad engineering, and my taxes are subsidising it against my will and professional judgment.

A Quote from Shakespeare

Dr UK in a comment draws attention to the following exchange in Shakespeare’s A Midsummer’s Night Dream:

Bottom (wearing the head of an ass): Nay, I can gleek upon occasion.
Titania: Thou art as wise as thou art beautiful.

Gleick and America’s Dumbest Criminals

Some years ago, Daniel Butler hosted a television show called “America’s Dumbest Criminals” (trailer), entry to which Peter Gleick richly deserves.
Continue reading