Update (Steve): I’ve read the Wegman Report and it’s obviously very gratifying. I won’t be able to provide a review for about a week as we’ve got a family reunion this week-end with two of my sisters and their families arriving from Colorado and B.C. , plus I’ve got to do some preparation for next […]
Update (Steve): I’ve read the Wegman Report and it’s obviously very gratifying. I won’t be able to provide a review for about a week as we’ve got a family reunion this week-end with two of my sisters and their families arriving from Colorado and B.C. , plus I’ve got to do some preparation for next […]
John A: In today’s Wall Street Journal comes a mention of a report by three independent statisticians on the Hockey Stick It is routine these days to read in newspapers or hear — almost anywhere the subject of climate change comes up — that the 1990s were the "warmest decade in a millennium" and that […]
The NAS Panel showed the following spaghetti diagram. From NAS Panel. The Esper et al 2002 reconstruction shown here is not actually in Esper et al 2002 in this form, but attributed to Cook et al 2004. I wonder where they got the digital version, as I’ve been unable to locate this version, although it […]
Here with accompanying editorial by Terence Corcoran here.
One of the examples of spurious regression mentioned in Phillips 1998, quoted by Eduardo Zorita at CPD and previously here by me, was taken from Hendry 1980, from an article entitled “Econometrics – Alchemy or Science?”. Hendry is a very eminent professor of economics and the article proved to be as interesting as its title. […]
Jean S has sent the following longer contribution on Rutherford et al 2005. I always appreciate Jean S’s thoughtful comments (which is no secret to readers here). So enjoy. JeanS: Now since the review of Burger and Cubash [BC06 here after] put Rutherford (2005) [R05] back on the table, there is an issue to which […]
Mann, Wahl, Ammann, Ritson, Ramsdorff are all dining out on the fact that von Storch et al 2004 did not implement a detrending step in their implementation of MBH98. (Although given that Mann would not be "intimidated" into releasing his algorithm and cited Zorita et al 2003 to us as evidence that people could implement […]
Climate Audit 
WSJ: House Energy report on the "mutual admiration society"
John A: In today’s Wall Street Journal comes a mention of a report by three independent statisticians on the Hockey Stick It is routine these days to read in newspapers or hear — almost anywhere the subject of climate change comes up — that the 1990s were the "warmest decade in a millennium" and that […]