Now that I’ve caught my breath a little, just for fun, I’m parsing through sections of the NAS report on areas not directly involving the MM-MBH battle. In the press conference, I recall Cuffey placing a lot of emphasis on the "regional" MWP, and that it wasn’t in the Antarctic ice core data (although it […]
Another large batch of tree ring chronologies was archived on June 21, 2006, this time with records up to 2003. Are the results for the 1990s and 2000s off the chart?
If you look at Chapter 6 of NAS, you’ll see heavy reliance on Thompson’s tropical ice cores. There’s much to consider here and this is a very first look. Here’s an interesting statement: "A quantitative assessment of temperature change from north Tibetan cores [Dunde and Guliya], using typical [whatver that is in tropical ice cores] […]
The early rumors on the NAS Panel was that it was “two handed” -on the one hand,…, on the other hand, … with something for everyone. I’d characterize it more as schizophrenic. It’s got two completely distinct personalities. On the one hand, they pretty much concede that every criticism of MBH is correct. They disown […]
The NAS Panel is scheduled to issue its report, "Surface Temperature Reconstructions for the Last 2,000 Years" at 11 a.m. on Thursday. I suspect that many people would expect me to be worried about what the panel will say. Actually, I’m not worried in the slightest. Based on presentations to the panel, NAS is in […]
8 new tree ring measurement data sets have archived this week at WDCP in northern Alberta by Meko. The sites are around 58N, 111W , well to the northeast of the Jasper site (52N, 117W) which is used in nearly all the multiproxy studies. I did a “standard” type chronology fitting negative exponential curves by […]
Eduardo Zorita sent me an interesting paper (Pollissar et al 2006, Solar modulation of Little Ice Age climate in the tropical Andes) hot off the press on June 1, 2006, co-authored by Bradley, which reported: The intersection of the ELA [equilibrium line altitude] and pollen estimates indicate that during the LIA the Venezuelan Andes were […]
Rob Wilson wrote in today pointing out that D’Arrigo et al 2006 had obtained a correlation to gridcell temperature of 0.58 for the Jacoby Mongolia site chronology, working from original data and not relying on hand-me-down data from Mann and Jones. This is actually higher than the 0.25 reported by Mann and Jones for annual […]
Trying to check even simple things like the correlation of individual Osborn and Briffa 2006 series to gridcell temperature always leads to complications. Today I’ll look at the situation with respect to Jacoby’s Sol Dav, Mongolia series, one of the 6-7 mainstays of Hockey Team reconstructions. Needless to say, nothing can be confirmed. Instead of […]
The relationship of bristlecone/foxtails to gridcell temperature is something that I’ve discussed at length, but, surprisingly, I’ve never illustrated it at the blog. This is a type of relationship that, in some ways, is well suited to blogs. It’s simple to discuss; it’s important. It would be amply illustrated and discussed in business feasibility studies […]