Monthly Archives: March 2006

The RE Benchmark in A&W

There’s an interesting irony in the GRL rejection of the Ammann & Wahl Comment and it will be interesting to see how this gets handled. It turns out that the A&W Climatic Change depends on their GRL submission for their test of statistical significance for the RE statistic. So even though the GRL referee thought […]

Ammann and Wahl Little Whopper Rejected

GRL has rejected the Ammann and Wahl Little Whopper (shortly after Climatic Change accepted the Big Whopper). We previously posted up our Reply to the Little Whopper here. You can see previous discussion of this by the category "Wahl and Ammann". Since the Comment is not being published, neither is the Reply. I wonder whether […]

Mann at the NAS Panel

This post got deleted in the server crash. I typically post up from written text, but usually do a final edit as I input onto the blog, so the present note will probably differ a little from what I posted up yesterday, but probably not materially. Mann did not present anything germane that had not […]

Server Crash

As you’ve noticed, there was a server crash and the site has been restored from a back-up. I’m told that the site is on a new server. The recurrent down-time leading up to the crash was presumably related. Lost in the backup are my post on Mann at the NAS panel, my update to the […]

Cook et al[2004]: More Cargo Cult?

Reader Bart S. has argued that Cook et al [QSR 2004] disposed of the "Divergence Problem", the name applied at the NAS panel on March 2-3, 2006 for the problem that, if the proxies do not record late 20th century warming, how can we be sure that they recorded potential earlier warming in the MWP. […]

Millar et al: The Sierra Nevada MWP

Otto-Bliesner asked me how I would do a reconstruction. As I’ve said on other occasions, I said that I didn’t know. I’m really reluctant to just apple-pick some series but it’s prbably worthwhile showing that you can pick apples as well as cherries. More constructively, I think that there are some approaches that look better […]

M&M at the NAS Panel

Back to reporting on our presentation to the NAS panel, after which I’ll report on Mann. We presented last in the day, immediately following von Storch. Hughes and Mann presented on Friday morning. We gave them a long written presentation, and touched the high points in our PPT, also providing them with a CD of […]

We know where you live

If you glance to the bottom of the sidebar on the right hand side, you will find a brand new, shiny, and in keeping with CA’s overriding philosophy, free visitor counter with the added bonus that we can then all view where you’re browsing from. Over time you’ll see that we get visitors, trolls and […]

Hits redux: Reconstruction from webhost proxy

A propos of nothing, I decided to check out the statistics provided by the webhost (Webserve.ca) on climateaudit.org, since we didn’t know whether the recent statistics were an aberration or a short sample from a long trend. Using advanced statistical analysis tools (OpenOffice Calc) and image transformation technologies (Krita) I present the real statistics of […]

Making Apple Pie Instead of Cherry Pie

One of the concerns that people are increasingly expressing to us in reaction to demonstrations of methodology problems in Hockey Team multiproxy studies is more or less this: even if the methods used in these various studies are flawed from the point of view of a statistical purist, no one’s presented an alternative interpretation of […]