Monthly Archives: November 2007

Emile-Geay and Verification r2 Statistics

Julien Emile-Geay from Judith Curry’s university – who, together with Kim Cobb, is teaching a course on the Hockey Stick – has joined our debate with a forceful criticism of Craig Loehle’s recent paper. While Emile-Geay seems to be a lively young man with some very cordial comments about CA here and his comments are […]

Loehle and Moberg

Julien Emile-Geay has made many forceful criticisms of the Loehle reconstruction. For example, he says: Relationship of each proxy to *local* temperature is not even discussed. We are just shoved a list of references (hey Craig , have you heard of tables ? They are a great means that scientists use to convey information clearly). […]

Li et al 2007

bender writes: Maybe Steve M wants to set up a thread on the paper? JEG provided this url: Click to access 2007-LNA-TeA.pdf moshpit, when I can’t compute exact solutions, I simulate it. As for autocorrelation, given the sparseness of the data points in the time domain, maybe the autocorrelation is very weak? If autocorrelation is […]

USHCN in the "ass end of nowhere"

There’s a USHCN station out there, in the “ass end of nowhere”. Apologist Eli Rabett (Joshua Halpern) recently lamented that in order for dendrochronologists to update tree ring studies used in MBH98/99 (aka Mann’s Hockey Stick) that they “have to drive out to the ass end of nowhere”. It’s such an inconvenience for those that […]

Loehle Proxies

Here is a script for collating Loehle proxies into an R-list in which each item is a table with two columns – one the AD year and the other the temperature (except for Holmgren where it is a native value as temperatures were not estimated in the underlying article.) This has not been coordinated with […]

Exponential Growth in Physical Systems #3

Continuation of Exponential Growth # 2.

Craig Loehle Reconstruction

Thread for discussion of Loehle 2007. I’ll try to comment later but have some other obligations right now. Craig Loehle sneds the following information on provenance: 1) GRIP borehole temperature (Dahl-Jensen et al., 1998): See Moberg Nature site supplementary material [SM – digitized version is at http://data.climateaudit.org/data/moberg/djgrip.dat ) 2) Conroy Lake pollen (Gajewski, 1988): ftp://ftp.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/paleo/pollen/recons/liadata.txt […]

Schakowsky: "a different source which our staff had confirmed with Al Gore"

Here is an interesting exchange at the House Energy and Commerce Subcommittee hearings about the provenance of the hockey stick diagram in An Inconvenient Truth. Thanks to the reader who spotted this. Rep Stearns took aim at the apparent use of Mann’s Hockey Stick in Inconvenient Truth (the methodology of which had been severely criticized […]

Unthreaded #25

Continuation of Unthreaded #24

The Sheep Mountain Update

This post contains an important calculation, which will affect the many multiproxy studies in which Graybill bristlecone chronologies impact results either directly or via Mann’s PC1. Hans Erren has digitized the data from the Ababneh Thesis. In Figure 1 below, I’ve shown the difference between the updated Sheep Mountain chronology and the Graybill chronology. The […]