Category Archives: Proxies

Steig’s “Corrections”

Roman M has already done one post on the impact of the Harry error. Ryan O has also done so [see comment here]. As has Steig. I show below some graphics that I’ve just done on AWS recon trends. At Steig’s website, he now states: awsreconcorrected.txt is a correction to the above file, using corrected […]

Deconstructing the Steig AWS Reconstruction

So how did Steig et al. calculate the AWS reconstruction? Since we don’t have either the satellite data or the exact path they followed using the RegEM Matlab files, we can’t say for sure how the results were obtained. However, using a little mathemagic, we can actually take the sequences apart and then calculate reconstructed […]

Carnage

Moving right along since the problem with Harry was identified on Super Bowl Sunday, BAS reports: This is a list of corrections that have been made to the AWS data tables and a link to the table before the corrections were applied, any suspected errors should be reported to Steve Colwell (2/2/09)The AWS data for […]

Antarctica – digging out the data

It seems that we are all “wild about Harry” recently, and no good kerfluffle would be complete without some pictures of the weather stations in question. It seems “Harry” got buried under snow. Why is this important? Well, as anyone skilled in cold weather survival can tell you, snow makes an excellent insulator and an […]

More on Voodoo Correlations

Mann said: Although 484 (~40%) pass the temperature screening process over the full (1850–1995) calibration interval, one would expect that no more than ~150 (13%) of the proxy series would pass the screening procedure described above by chance alone. Reader DC said: Of the 484 proxies passing the 1850-1995 significance test, 342 also passed both […]

The Supra-Long Finnish Chronology #2

This post is going to be a bit more interesting than my last one, where I was getting some preliminary information out of the way. The post here draws heavily on Mauri Timonen’s 2009 PPT, which explains how their 7500-year long chronology is obtained. I’m also going to get to some results which will intrigue […]

Speleothem Dating

Today I’m doing a short note on nonlinear equation solving of speleothem equations. As a preface to this, I’d like to comment that I’ve not made an overall post placing speleothems in context. And they have some very interesting properties as proxies that should not be lost sight of either in the context of posts […]

Fleitmann 2007: "Observed Anti-Correlation"

Today, I’m going to discuss a couple of points arising out of Fleitmann et al 2007, a discussion of speleothems in western Asia. Most notably, I’m going to discuss a “statistical” calculation made in this article, where the authors relied on a “visual” interpretation of noisy time series, which readily permit an alternative interpretation. (The […]

Five Monsoon O18 Series

Jud Partin observed yesterday that a “fantastic new record” had been recently (early Nov 2008) published from Wanxiang, China. Zhang et al report that their new record is “broadly similar” to the reconstructions of Esper, Mann and Jones 2003 and Moberg as follows: The Wanxiang record, with a d18O range of ~1.3 per mil (‰) […]

Calibrating Tropical Speleothems

Readers have inquired recently about how tropical speleothems are calibrated to temperature. Judd Partin, Kim Cobb (both of Georgia Tech) and associates wrote an excellent article last year (Cobb et al, EPSL 2007) on detailed O18 observations near a Borneo speleothem about which they had published. They introduced the article with the following observation that […]