In today’s post, I’m going to re-examine (or more accurately, examine de novo) Ed Cook’s Mt Read (Tasmania) chronology, a chronology recently used in Gergis et al 2016, Esper et al 2016, as well as numerous multiproxy reconstructions over the past 20 years. Gergis et al 2016 said that they used freshly-calculated “signal-free” RCS chronologies […]
Jan Esper, prominent in early Climate Audit posts as an adamant serial non-archiver, has joined with 17 other tree ring specialists, to publish “Ranking of tree-ring based temperature reconstructions of the past millennium” (pdf). This assesses 39 long tree ring temperature reconstructions. The assessment is accompanied by an archive containing 39 reconstruction versions, together with the underlying measurement […]
Rob Wilson (by email) has drawn my attention to the SI to Esper et al 2012 SI, which contains the following diagram relevant to late Holocene treeline changes. Figure 1. From Esper et al 2012 SI.
Starting with the first of my recent posts on Yamal, I raised the issue of whether the CRU 12 actually came from a homogeneous population to the subfossil population. Although Briffa’s online response to my Yamal posts stated that CRU has “stressed” potential problems arising from “inhomogeneous” sources” in their “published work”, I have been […]
Starting with the first of my recent posts on Yamal, I raised the issue of whether the CRU 12 actually came from a homogeneous population to the subfossil population. This issue was related to the surprisingly small sample size of the supposedly “highly replicated” Yamal chronology, but is distinct. In his online response to Yamal […]
Esper et al (Global Change Biology, in press) “Trends and uncertainties in Siberian indicators of 20th century warming” is relevant to our present consideration of Briffa’s Yamal, which I will get to shortly. The cutline in their abstract declares in effect that the divergence problem is not as “bad as we thought”: Despite these large […]
On April 10, I was notified by NOAA that a little bit of data from Trouet was now online at NOAA WDCP. The archive is the absolute minimum; even Science would require them to archive this data if asked. However, it is totally inadequate for replication. However, every little bit of data helps and here’s […]
The other series in Trouet that contributes to their NAO reconstruction is the Morocco chronology from Esper the non-Archiver. In the Scotland speleo series, we observed an awkward detrending step prior to the NAO reconstruction. In the Morocco series, there proves to be some awkward splices: a splice of two different series versions at a […]
Trouet et al was released on April 2, 2009 with an SI that did not include any data. Discussion began here on April 3 in the comments here and later that day I posted on it here observing: Unfortunately, the authors failed to provide any digital data citations (see for example AGU policies on this, […]
On previous occasions, we’ve noticed some strange appearances of the Mann hockey stick under different disguises. In Inconvenient Truth, a splice of Mann’s hockey stick and CRU instrumental data is described as “Dr Thompson’s thermometer”. Today, I noticed another peculiar incident, where Esper and Frank (Clim Chg 2008), who one would think would know better, […]
Climate Audit 