Arctic lake sediment series have been an important component of recent multiproxy studies. These series have been discussed on many occasions at Climate Audit (tag), mostly very critical. PAGES 2017 (and related Werner et al 2017) made some interesting changes to the Arctic lake sediment inventory of PAGES 2013, which I’ll discuss today.
Kaufman and McKay recently and quietly issued an Arctic2K correction file at NOAA xls here (now here) that concedes yet another upside-down series previously pointed out to them at Climate Audit. Once again, they used information from Climate Audit without acknowledgement or credit (see NSF definition of plagiarism here).
The revised PAGES2K Arctic reconstruction used 56 proxies (down three from the original 59). Although McKay and Kaufman 2014 didn’t mention the elephant in the room changes in their reconstruction (as discussed at CA here here), they reported with some satisfaction that “decadal-scale variability in the revised [PAGES2K] reconstruction is quite similar to that determined by Kaufman […]
PAGES2K (2013) unequivocally stated that the Arctic was “warmest during the 20th century”: The Arctic was also warmest during the twentieth century, although warmer during 1941–1970 than 1971–2000 according to our reconstruction. McKay and Kaufman 2014 did not withdraw or amend the above statement, instead reporting that the revision amplified the cooling trend prior to […]
Shortly after the publication of PAGES2K, I pointed out that the Igaliku lake sediment proxy, had been contaminated by modern agricultural runoff. The post attracted many comments. Nick Stokes vigorously opposed the surmise that the Igaliku series had been contaminated by modern agriculture and/or that such contamination should have been taken into account by Kaufman […]
Since AR4, there have been a series of new multiproxy studies, several of which were cited in AR5 (Mann et al 2008; Ljungqvist et al 2010; Christiansen and Ljungqvist 2012; Shi et al 2013). A distinctive feature of these and other recent multiproxy studies is the incorporation of varve thickness and near-equivalent mass accumulation rate […]
By Stephen McIntyre
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Posted in Uncategorized
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Also tagged big round, bradley, c2, donard, hvitarvatn, iceberg lake, korttajarvi, ljungqvist, overpeck, pages2k, silvaplana, varve
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Kaufman and paleo peer reviewers ought to be aware that the recent portion of varve data can be contaminated by modern agriculture, as this was a contentious issue in relation to Mann et al 2008 (Upside Down Mann) and Kaufman et al 2009. Nonetheless, Kaufman et al 2013 (PAGES), despite dozens of coauthors and peer […]
The PAGES2K Arctic reconstruction uses Gifford Miller’s Hvitavatn (Iceland) data upside down. The error “matters” because this series is one of rather few PAGES2K series that show a Hockey Stick. Such gross errors ought to be corrected before the data is cited for policy purposes or said to confirm previous studies.
In a draft Corrigendum dated Oct 10, 2009 (most recently modified Oct 21, 2009), Kaufman gives what is obviously a warm and heartfelt shout-out in which they: thank those who have pointed out errors and have offered suggestions. More later today. [Note: see Sep 15 post here here for a preliminary assessment of Kaufman using […]
There is an interesting, and, in my opinion, very bold, comment (dated 9/27, here in Finnish; Google Translation) in a Finnish web journal by professor Atte Korhola entitled “Recession in Climate Science”. Korhola: Esitän kärkeen heti teesin, jonka mieluusti alistan julkiseen kritiikkiin: kun myöhemmät polvet tutustuvat ilmastotieteeseen, he luokittelevat 2000-luvun alun tieteen historian noloihin lukuihin. […]
Climate Audit 
Atte Korhola: political and social playground
There is an interesting, and, in my opinion, very bold, comment (dated 9/27, here in Finnish; Google Translation) in a Finnish web journal by professor Atte Korhola entitled “Recession in Climate Science”. Korhola: Esitän kärkeen heti teesin, jonka mieluusti alistan julkiseen kritiikkiin: kun myöhemmät polvet tutustuvat ilmastotieteeseen, he luokittelevat 2000-luvun alun tieteen historian noloihin lukuihin. […]