In a few days, we will reach the anniversary of the formation of Hurricane Katrina in the middle Atlantic (Aug 18, 2005). By this time last year, we’d had 4 hurricanes, including two category 4/5 hurricanes, with Katrina about to hit. The final 2005 tally was 28 named storms, 15 hurricanes, 7 "major" (Category 3 […]
Can we agree that the discovery of Distachia at Quelccaya dated to about 5000 year ago and located about 400-500 m above its present level is evidence that it was warmer at that time than at present at Quelccaya, Peru? Yeah, yeah, I know the argument that maybe Distachia is 400-500 m out of equilibrium […]
Warwick Hughes has an interesting post here on SST trends.
Just when you thought that there was nothing left to say about MBH98, look at this MBH98 "flavor" that the cat dragged in today. This is a MBH-flavor reconstruction using MBH methodology and MBH proxies, following one of the NAS panel suggestions!! What did I do? Figure 1. A New MBH98 Flavor
As you all recall, the NAS panel let MBH off rather lightly in respect to disclosure and the House Energy and Commerce Committee couldn’t be bothered. So all in all, MBH dodged a bullet and you’d think that they’d have been wise enough to leave well enough alone. But no. In today’s Nature, Mann, Bradley […]
Hormes et al 2001 is noted up in passing by the NAS panel, but is given short shrift relative to Thompson. It is not mentioned at all in the IPCC 4AR second draft. This article is one of the underpinnings for the view that there have been 8 warm intervals in the Alps during the […]
By Stephen McIntyre
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Posted in General, NAS Panel, Proxies, Thompson
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Tagged alps, glacier, hormes, Joerin, schluechter, stratigraphy, stump, treeline, Unteraargletchser
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It seems quite possible to me that study of glacier changes would actually shed some useful light on the relative levels of the MWP and modern warm period. I’m quite prepared to let the chips fall where they may (although I would deny that this would vindicate the statistical falsehoods of the Mann HS, any […]
During the past few years, one sees from time to time news releases e.g. here about the “Green Alps”‘? from several German and Swiss scientists: Schlüchter, U Joerin, Holzhauser and Hormes in particular. The NAS panel mentioned Hormes et al 2001 in the sentence after Thompson’s organics, but paid no attention to it. It turns […]
The NAS panel mentioned the recent 5000-year organics from Quelccaya as being an important potential indicator of 20th century climatic uniqueness. (Lee seems to consider it some kind of smoking gun) I’ll discuss Thompson’s abysmal publication of the data – in particular, his total lack of any stratigraphic information – in a few days, but […]
I noted yesterday that Allen [2006] did not contain any new data supporting the idea of a "cool medieval Pacific", but that it was based primarily on a paper by Kim Cobb et al [2003] based, as it turns out, on two individual corals at Palmyra Island (6N) – one dated to the 10th century […]
Climate Audit 
It's Hard to Imagine…
As you all recall, the NAS panel let MBH off rather lightly in respect to disclosure and the House Energy and Commerce Committee couldn’t be bothered. So all in all, MBH dodged a bullet and you’d think that they’d have been wise enough to leave well enough alone. But no. In today’s Nature, Mann, Bradley […]