Last year, Ross McKitrick proposed the ironic idea of a “T3 Tax” in which carbon tax levels were related to observed temperature increases in the tropical troposphere. Temperature increases in the tropical troposphere are, as I understand it, a distinctive “fingerprint” for carbon dioxide forcing. Apparent discrepancies between a lack of warming in satellite data […]
Anthony has two interesting reports on his NCDC visit. Take a look.
UC and Hu McCulloch have been carrying on a very illuminating discussion of statistical issues relating to calibration , with UC, in particular, drawing attention to the approach of Brown (1982) towards establishing confidence intervals in calibration problems. In order to apply statistical theory of regression , you have to regress the effect Y against […]
Wilson et al 2007 (previously discussed here) considers a Kyrgyzstan series that has numerous issues – the usual provenance problems unfortunately occur once again. But over and above that, it uses multiple inverse regression, a procedure used all too casually by dendros. In this case, the procedure flips over one of the ring width series […]
The archived information for Wilson et al 2007 contains interesting new information on an unpublished West Siberian series (Putorama, 70 31 N, 92 57E). In this case, I was actually able to obtain a better correlation to gridcell temperature than the one reported by Rob by using a gridcell closer to the actual location. This […]
I’ve been re-visiting some proxy data; I noted last summer that Rob Wilson had archived a considerable amount of B.C. data in Aug 2007 and noticed that he subsequently archived the data versions as used in Wilson et al 2007 at NCDC here in Sept 2007. (Not all of Rob’s data is archived as he […]
In MM2005a,b,c, we observed that the RE statistic had no theoretical distribution. We noted that MBH had purported to establish a benchmark by simulations using AR1 red noise series with AR1=0.2, yielding a RE benchmark of 0. We originally observed that high RE statistics could be obtained from PC operations on red noise in MM2005a […]
A news report says that the oldest living tree has been found on the Sweden-Norway border. The report comes from Leif Kullman, a prominent Swedish paleo-scientist. The story says: Prof Leif Kullman at Umeå University and colleagues found a cluster of around 20 spruces that are over 8,000 years old. The oldest tree, in Fulu […]
A new peer-reviewed paper has been published in an American Meteorology Society journal that raises many more questions on the linkages between hurricane activity and global warming. Eric Berger at the Houston Chronicle (SciGuy) did the leg-work and is the first (and only) mainstream media outlet to report the findings of Emanuel et al. (2008) […]
Based on my limited experience, it seems to me that journal peer reviewing faces an interesting challenge with the increased use of Supplementary Information (and I absolutely endorse detailed SI and obviously encourage even more detailed SI). In a very non-random of articles that I know inside-out (Team journal publications), my conclusion is that, in […]
Climate Audit 