Category Archives: IPCC

Cunning IPCC Bureaucrats

IPCC has a policy requiring them to make all expert and government review comments available under the following terms: All written expert, and government review comments will be made available to reviewers on request during the review process and will be retained in an open archive in a location determined by the IPCC Secretariat on […]

Swindle and the IPCC TAR Spaghetti Graph

Our text for today remains: If a practising scientist selected a 1987 data set over more recent versions, failed to cite it correctly, altered the appearance of the data without a clear explanation and didn’t include the data from the last 20 years then I think we’d all be asking serious questions about their professionalism. […]

Briffa and MBH99 Smoothing

I’ve found an unlikely ally in my questioning of the smoothing of MBH99 in the original publication and in IPCC TAR: Keith Briffa. Not that Briffa has posted a comment endorsing my observation. However, the smoothed version of MBH99 in Briffa et al 2001 (near contemporary with TAR) is virtually identical to what I got. […]

The Maestro is in da house

As I re-examined the IPCC TAR spaghetti , I noted that there was considerable evidence in Figure 2-21 that the Maestro himself is in the house and we should therefore be prepared for the unexpected. There is an interesting replication problem in the TAR spaghetti graph where I’d welcome ideas. Here’s the TAR spaghetti graph […]

More on the Divergence Problem

Two new things on the Divergence Problem. The IPCC First and Second Drafts did not contain a whisper of a mention of the divergence between ring widths and density in the second half of the 20th century, although this is rather an important issue. It came up at the NAS Panel and was completely unresolved […]

von Storch et al 2004 in IPCC AR4

It’s interesting to see what’s been changed between the Second Draft and AR4 as it went out the door, and compare that to comments. von Storch et al 2004 argued that the low-frequency variance of reconstructions wsa under-estimated, a point with which I agree (although it’s a different point about whether these reconstructions are biased […]

Swindle and Inconvenient Divergence

Climate scientists didn’t bother checking the Hockey Stick, but they are showing great diligence in going through The Great Global Warming Swindle. Nathan Rive (archive here) is the newest entrant; he has cross-checked one of the graphics in Swindle against the original graphic in Lassen and Friis-Christensen and found a discrepancy between the graphic and […]

IPCC and the Al Gore Hockey Stick

Al Gore’s hockey stick version (page 65 of the book “An Inconvenient Truth“) is taken from one of the many conflicting versions of Lonnie Thompson’s ice core data. Now there is an ongoing controversy about whether Thompson’s data is a temperature or precipitation proxy, with pretty much every other scientist except Thompson now viewing the […]

IPCC AR4

IPCC AR4 is online – thanks to readers for pointing this out. I didn’t notice any press releases or hoopla. The lead author for the millennial paleoclimate section was Keith Briffa, who takes a realclimate line on the debate – surprise, surprise. Their comments on M&M are pretty much the same as in the Second […]

IPCC and Data Access

One of the most important IPCC representations is the supposedly tremendous quality control of its review process. I’ve mentioned in passing on a number of occasions that, when I sought to obtain supporting data for then unpublished articles, IPCC threatened to expel me as a reviewer. I’ve had a few requests to recount my experience […]