Category Archives: Proxies

The Impact of Yamal on the Spaghetti Graph

We’ve been discussing Briffa and Yamal at CA for a couple of years and many, if not most, regular readers understand the significance of the Yamal collapse. For example, as recently as Sept 19, we were observing the dependence of the Kaufman reconstruction on the Yamal series. So the long-sought fresh information on Yamal (and […]

Yamal: A “Divergence” Problem

The second image below is, in my opinion, one of the most disquieting images ever presented at Climate Audit. Two posts ago, I observed that the number of cores used in the most recent portion of the Yamal archive at CRU was implausibly low. There were only 10 cores in 1990 versus 65 cores in […]

Kaufman et al: Obstructed by Thompson and Jacoby

A CA reader sent me an email, noting the following entry in minutes of a meeting. M Loso inquired about Lonnie Thompson’s ice core data. These data are not presently available but will be investigated by Caspar. This comment is minuted in a meeting of PIs leading up to Kaufman et al 2009 – a […]

The Lodgepole Pine: A Case Study

Every year, the Statistical Society of Canada has a case study competition for statistics students in Canada. The problem and the data are posted about six months before the annual meeting. Teams of students analyze the problem and then present their results at a poster session at the meetings. One of the two topics for […]

Sea Ice At Lowest Level In 800 Years

A few days ago, Jeff Id drew attention to a recent study profiled in sciencedaily which stated: Sea Ice At Lowest Level In 800 Years Near Greenland ScienceDaily (July 2, 2009) — New research, which reconstructs the extent of ice in the sea between Greenland and Svalbard from the 13th century to the present indicates […]

Irreproducible Results in PNAS

In Al Gore’s movie and book An Inconvenient Truth, he presents a graph which he identifies [in the book] as “Dr. Thompson’s Thermometer.” Gore attributes this graph to the ice core research of Lonnie Thompson, and says [in the book] that it provides independent evidence for the validity of the “Hockey Stick” temperature reconstruction of Michael Mann […]

"Explaining" a Positive NAO

Trouet et 2009 posit a positive NAO as the “explanation” of the Medieval Climate Anomaly, pausing only briefly to ask what might have caused a centuries long (“temporally pervasive”) positive NAO, falling back on an arm-waving attribution to a stronger Atlantic meridional overturning circulation: The persistently strong winter MCA NAO and its weakening during the […]

More Upside-Down Mann

Previously, we discussed the upside-down Tiljander proxies in Mann et al 2008. Ross and I pointed this out in our PNAS comment, with Mann denying in his answer that they were upside down. This reply is untrue (as Jean S and UC also confirmed.) Andy Baker’s SU967 proxy is used in Mann 2008 and is […]

The Trouet Ocean Proxies

Here are the ocean proxies used in Trouet et al. As usual in Team studies, it is a total mystery how they are selected. Trouet et al is a bit different from usual Team studies in that it argues for a MWP-LIA global reorganization, something that I’ll get to soon. Today, I want to chat […]

More Z-Score Opportunism

We’ve frequently observed that the reduction of data to standard deviation units (z-scores) is often associated with seemingly opportunistic orientation of the data sets. Often this is buried in the multivariate methodology. Principal components and RegEM can both function to opportunistically provide orientations to “proxies”. In Mann 2008, we saw pretty examples of proxies being […]